Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance shows a post-heatwave cooldown for early September, with September 1 highs projected near 82–86 °F under partly cloudy to sunny skies and light onshore flow. Marine-layer stratus and modest humidity from above-normal Pacific sea-surface temperatures introduce day-to-day variability that narrows the most probable range to the mid-to-upper 70s. This uncertainty, combined with historical early-September averages near 77 °F at downtown and airport stations, explains why the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins dominate trader consensus while higher outcomes remain discounted until updated model runs or morning observations arrive.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Los Angeles on September 1?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 1?
76-77°F 44%
78-79°F 43%
74-75°F 11%
70-71°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
11%
76-77°F
44%
78-79°F
43%
80-81°F
9%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 44%
78-79°F 43%
74-75°F 11%
70-71°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
65°F or below
$135 Wol.
<1%
66-67°F
$6 Wol.
2%
68-69°F
$6 Wol.
5%
70-71°F
$6 Wol.
9%
72-73°F
$119 Wol.
6%
74-75°F
$208 Wol.
11%
76-77°F
$380 Wol.
44%
78-79°F
$305 Wol.
43%
80-81°F
$176 Wol.
9%
82-83°F
$84 Wol.
3%
84°F or higher
$134 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance shows a post-heatwave cooldown for early September, with September 1 highs projected near 82–86 °F under partly cloudy to sunny skies and light onshore flow. Marine-layer stratus and modest humidity from above-normal Pacific sea-surface temperatures introduce day-to-day variability that narrows the most probable range to the mid-to-upper 70s. This uncertainty, combined with historical early-September averages near 77 °F at downtown and airport stations, explains why the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins dominate trader consensus while higher outcomes remain discounted until updated model runs or morning observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$801Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance shows a post-heatwave cooldown for early September, with September 1 highs projected near 82–86 °F under partly cloudy to sunny skies and light onshore flow. Marine-layer stratus and modest humidity from above-normal Pacific sea-surface temperatures introduce day-to-day variability that narrows the most probable range to the mid-to-upper 70s. This uncertainty, combined with historical early-September averages near 77 °F at downtown and airport stations, explains why the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins dominate trader consensus while higher outcomes remain discounted until updated model runs or morning observations arrive.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$801Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 7:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance shows a post-heatwave cooldown for early September, with September 1 highs projected near 82–86 °F under partly cloudy to sunny skies and light onshore flow. Marine-layer stratus and modest humidity from above-normal Pacific sea-surface temperatures introduce day-to-day variability that narrows the most probable range to the mid-to-upper 70s. This uncertainty, combined with historical early-September averages near 77 °F at downtown and airport stations, explains why the 76–77 °F and 78–79 °F bins dominate trader consensus while higher outcomes remain discounted until updated model runs or morning observations arrive.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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