Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble model guidance indicate a highest temperature near 28°C for Toronto on September 1, driven by southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 40-50% probability, introduce uncertainty by limiting daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which differentiates 27°C from 29°C outcomes in the market. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging around 24-25°C, making this pattern mildly above normal. Traders are weighting the close clustering of 27-29°C probabilities because minor shifts in steering winds or convective timing in upcoming 00Z model runs could alter the daily maximum by 1-2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on September 1?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 1?
29°C 22%
31°C 17%
27°C 16%
25°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
6%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
5%
27°C
16%
28°C
19%
29°C
22%
30°C
10%
31°C
17%
32°C or higher
8%
29°C 22%
31°C 17%
27°C 16%
25°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 1, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
23°C
$0 Wol.
6%
24°C
$0 Wol.
13%
25°C
$0 Wol.
15%
26°C
$14 Wol.
5%
27°C
$0 Wol.
16%
28°C
$66 Wol.
19%
29°C
$44 Wol.
22%
30°C
$20 Wol.
10%
31°C
$0 Wol.
17%
32°C or higher
$16 Wol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble model guidance indicate a highest temperature near 28°C for Toronto on September 1, driven by southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 40-50% probability, introduce uncertainty by limiting daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which differentiates 27°C from 29°C outcomes in the market. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging around 24-25°C, making this pattern mildly above normal. Traders are weighting the close clustering of 27-29°C probabilities because minor shifts in steering winds or convective timing in upcoming 00Z model runs could alter the daily maximum by 1-2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$94Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble model guidance indicate a highest temperature near 28°C for Toronto on September 1, driven by southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 40-50% probability, introduce uncertainty by limiting daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which differentiates 27°C from 29°C outcomes in the market. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging around 24-25°C, making this pattern mildly above normal. Traders are weighting the close clustering of 27-29°C probabilities because minor shifts in steering winds or convective timing in upcoming 00Z model runs could alter the daily maximum by 1-2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$94Data zakończenia
Sep 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 30, 2026, 8:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest official forecasts from Environment Canada and ensemble model guidance indicate a highest temperature near 28°C for Toronto on September 1, driven by southwesterly flow advecting warmer air masses ahead of a weak frontal boundary. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 40-50% probability, introduce uncertainty by limiting daytime heating through increased cloud cover and evaporative cooling, which differentiates 27°C from 29°C outcomes in the market. Historical climatology shows early-September highs averaging around 24-25°C, making this pattern mildly above normal. Traders are weighting the close clustering of 27-29°C probabilities because minor shifts in steering winds or convective timing in upcoming 00Z model runs could alter the daily maximum by 1-2°C before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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