**An incoming Pacific storm system is the dominant driver suppressing Seattle's high temperature on September 2, 2026, to levels below the early-September climatological average of roughly 74°F.** Official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service and private models highlight widespread cloud cover, periods of rain (with totals of 0.1–0.5 inches possible), and southerly winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph, all of which limit daytime heating. These conditions produce a consensus range centered on the mid-to-upper 60s, with most guidance showing highs from the mid-60s to lower 70s depending on the exact timing and intensity of precipitation and cloud breaks. Model consensus and recent observations of the approaching low-pressure system explain why the market clusters tightly around 66–69°F (collectively over 67% implied probability). Key differentiating variables include the degree of solar insolation through morning partial clearing versus afternoon rain-cooled air masses, plus minor steering-pattern shifts that could allow slightly warmer or cooler advection. Historical analogs for similar early-September storms show highs frequently 5–10°F below average, aligning with the current forecast spread and the modest probabilities assigned to outcomes outside 64–71°F. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings through the afternoon of September 1 will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Seattle on September 2?
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 31%
64-65°F 20%
62-63°F 8%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
66-67°F 32%
68-69°F 31%
64-65°F 20%
62-63°F 8%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
32%
68-69°F
31%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 7:55 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksea
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kseaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**An incoming Pacific storm system is the dominant driver suppressing Seattle's high temperature on September 2, 2026, to levels below the early-September climatological average of roughly 74°F.** Official forecasts from sources such as the National Weather Service and private models highlight widespread cloud cover, periods of rain (with totals of 0.1–0.5 inches possible), and southerly winds of 10–15 mph with gusts to 25 mph, all of which limit daytime heating. These conditions produce a consensus range centered on the mid-to-upper 60s, with most guidance showing highs from the mid-60s to lower 70s depending on the exact timing and intensity of precipitation and cloud breaks. Model consensus and recent observations of the approaching low-pressure system explain why the market clusters tightly around 66–69°F (collectively over 67% implied probability). Key differentiating variables include the degree of solar insolation through morning partial clearing versus afternoon rain-cooled air masses, plus minor steering-pattern shifts that could allow slightly warmer or cooler advection. Historical analogs for similar early-September storms show highs frequently 5–10°F below average, aligning with the current forecast spread and the modest probabilities assigned to outcomes outside 64–71°F. Updated model runs and National Weather Service briefings through the afternoon of September 1 will provide the next resolution-relevant data points.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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