**Forecasts for Houston on September 2, 2026, indicate a high near 90–93°F amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 50–70% rain chances limiting peak heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling.** Recent NWS and model guidance highlight south-to-southeast winds, high humidity, and morning convection that could cap the daily maximum below recent late-August readings near 98°F. This uncertainty—driven by variable storm timing and coverage—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 86–91°F bins, as traders weigh the potential for suppressed highs against clearer periods allowing brief warming. New model runs and satellite updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Houston on September 2?
Highest temperature in Houston on September 2?
86-87°F 33%
88-89°F 30%
90-91°F 25%
84-85°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
33%
88-89°F
30%
90-91°F
25%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
7%
96-97°F
2%
98°F or higher
1%
86-87°F 33%
88-89°F 30%
90-91°F 25%
84-85°F 9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
79°F or below
$281 Wol.
<1%
80-81°F
$63 Wol.
<1%
82-83°F
$158 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$58 Wol.
9%
86-87°F
$46 Wol.
33%
88-89°F
$488 Wol.
30%
90-91°F
$419 Wol.
25%
92-93°F
$48 Wol.
7%
94-95°F
$27 Wol.
7%
96-97°F
$65 Wol.
2%
98°F or higher
$111 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Houston on September 2, 2026, indicate a high near 90–93°F amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 50–70% rain chances limiting peak heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling.** Recent NWS and model guidance highlight south-to-southeast winds, high humidity, and morning convection that could cap the daily maximum below recent late-August readings near 98°F. This uncertainty—driven by variable storm timing and coverage—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 86–91°F bins, as traders weigh the potential for suppressed highs against clearer periods allowing brief warming. New model runs and satellite updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,765Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecasts for Houston on September 2, 2026, indicate a high near 90–93°F amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 50–70% rain chances limiting peak heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling.** Recent NWS and model guidance highlight south-to-southeast winds, high humidity, and morning convection that could cap the daily maximum below recent late-August readings near 98°F. This uncertainty—driven by variable storm timing and coverage—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 86–91°F bins, as traders weigh the potential for suppressed highs against clearer periods allowing brief warming. New model runs and satellite updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,765Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecasts for Houston on September 2, 2026, indicate a high near 90–93°F amid scattered showers and thunderstorms, with 50–70% rain chances limiting peak heating through reduced solar radiation and evaporative cooling.** Recent NWS and model guidance highlight south-to-southeast winds, high humidity, and morning convection that could cap the daily maximum below recent late-August readings near 98°F. This uncertainty—driven by variable storm timing and coverage—explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities across the 86–91°F bins, as traders weigh the potential for suppressed highs against clearer periods allowing brief warming. New model runs and satellite updates over the next 48 hours will likely refine these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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