Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows a cooler air mass and possible patchy rain influencing São Paulo overnight into September 2, with projected minimums clustered around 11–13 °C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 50% for those exact thresholds and slightly lower odds for values outside the 10–14 °C range. September climatology places typical overnight lows near 12 °C, while current steering patterns and surface pressure gradients introduce modest uncertainty in the precise timing and extent of radiational cooling or cloud cover that could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on September 2?
11°C 98%
16°C 98%
17°C 97%
19°C or higher 95%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
93%
10°C
84%
11°C
98%
12°C
45%
13°C
50%
14°C
83%
15°C
85%
16°C
98%
17°C
97%
18°C
84%
19°C or higher
95%
11°C 98%
16°C 98%
17°C 97%
19°C or higher 95%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
9°C or below
$15 Wol.
93%
10°C
$0 Wol.
84%
11°C
$0 Wol.
98%
12°C
$0 Wol.
45%
13°C
$0 Wol.
50%
14°C
$0 Wol.
83%
15°C
$0 Wol.
85%
16°C
$15 Wol.
98%
17°C
$5 Wol.
97%
18°C
$5 Wol.
84%
19°C or higher
$5 Wol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows a cooler air mass and possible patchy rain influencing São Paulo overnight into September 2, with projected minimums clustered around 11–13 °C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 50% for those exact thresholds and slightly lower odds for values outside the 10–14 °C range. September climatology places typical overnight lows near 12 °C, while current steering patterns and surface pressure gradients introduce modest uncertainty in the precise timing and extent of radiational cooling or cloud cover that could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Wolumen
$45Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows a cooler air mass and possible patchy rain influencing São Paulo overnight into September 2, with projected minimums clustered around 11–13 °C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 50% for those exact thresholds and slightly lower odds for values outside the 10–14 °C range. September climatology places typical overnight lows near 12 °C, while current steering patterns and surface pressure gradients introduce modest uncertainty in the precise timing and extent of radiational cooling or cloud cover that could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$45Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 8:28 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from multiple models shows a cooler air mass and possible patchy rain influencing São Paulo overnight into September 2, with projected minimums clustered around 11–13 °C. This aligns with the closely matched market-implied probabilities near 50% for those exact thresholds and slightly lower odds for values outside the 10–14 °C range. September climatology places typical overnight lows near 12 °C, while current steering patterns and surface pressure gradients introduce modest uncertainty in the precise timing and extent of radiational cooling or cloud cover that could shift the recorded minimum by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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