Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a high of 28–31°C on September 2 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70–95%, and moderate precipitation risk limit surface heating and keep maximum temperatures from exceeding the mid-30s range observed in clearer conditions. Recent model runs show minor spread in peak values around midday, with some ensembles favoring brief afternoon clearing that could support a 30°C reading while others emphasize steadier rain suppressing it nearer 28–29°C. This tight clustering around 29–30°C aligns with trader-implied probabilities and historical September norms for the region amid similar synoptic patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
20%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
30°C 27%
28°C 20%
31°C 11%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
20%
29°C
34%
30°C
27%
31°C
11%
32°C
3%
33°C
1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Hong Kong Observatory and international sources indicate a high of 28–31°C on September 2 under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers and northwest winds of 4–6 on the Beaufort scale. Persistent cloud cover, elevated humidity near 70–95%, and moderate precipitation risk limit surface heating and keep maximum temperatures from exceeding the mid-30s range observed in clearer conditions. Recent model runs show minor spread in peak values around midday, with some ensembles favoring brief afternoon clearing that could support a 30°C reading while others emphasize steadier rain suppressing it nearer 28–29°C. This tight clustering around 29–30°C aligns with trader-implied probabilities and historical September norms for the region amid similar synoptic patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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