Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a September 2 minimum near 25°C, driven by northeasterly monsoon flow interacting with Tropical Cyclone Saudel, which is enhancing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds that limit overnight radiational cooling. Multiple model runs and regional analyses converge on this range, with dew points remaining elevated near 23–24°C and persistent moisture suppressing further drops, aligning with the 88% market-implied probability on 25°C. Historical September climatology supports similar overnight lows under comparable synoptic patterns, though minor forecast adjustments could still shift outcomes slightly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
25°C 90%
24°C 9%
23°C 1.3%
26°C <1%
$13,114 Wol.
$13,114 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
88%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 90%
24°C 9%
23°C 1.3%
26°C <1%
$13,114 Wol.
$13,114 Wol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
88%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a September 2 minimum near 25°C, driven by northeasterly monsoon flow interacting with Tropical Cyclone Saudel, which is enhancing cloud cover, scattered showers, and moderate winds that limit overnight radiational cooling. Multiple model runs and regional analyses converge on this range, with dew points remaining elevated near 23–24°C and persistent moisture suppressing further drops, aligning with the 88% market-implied probability on 25°C. Historical September climatology supports similar overnight lows under comparable synoptic patterns, though minor forecast adjustments could still shift outcomes slightly.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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