Forecast models and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C for Tokyo on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and modest humidity around 60–70%. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range, reflecting typical early-September conditions with residual summer warmth tempered by increasing cloud cover and low shower chances. Recent observations on September 1 showed similar maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, supporting the current market-implied odds favoring 31°C (45.5%) over 30°C or 32°C. Minor model spread and any afternoon convection could shift the exact peak, but no strong fronts or anomalies appear likely to alter the central tendency before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 2?
31°C 46%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 7%
NOWE
$22,232 Wol.
NOWE
$22,232 Wol.
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
24%
31°C
46%
32°C
21%
33°C
5%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
29°C 7%
NOWE
$22,232 Wol.
NOWE
$22,232 Wol.
Sep 2, 2026
26°C or below
$2,574 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$1,346 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$1,249 Wol.
2%
29°C
$1,457 Wol.
7%
30°C
$4,064 Wol.
24%
31°C
$2,258 Wol.
46%
32°C
$3,279 Wol.
21%
33°C
$2,297 Wol.
5%
34°C
$1,804 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$1,435 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$468 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C for Tokyo on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and modest humidity around 60–70%. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range, reflecting typical early-September conditions with residual summer warmth tempered by increasing cloud cover and low shower chances. Recent observations on September 1 showed similar maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, supporting the current market-implied odds favoring 31°C (45.5%) over 30°C or 32°C. Minor model spread and any afternoon convection could shift the exact peak, but no strong fronts or anomalies appear likely to alter the central tendency before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$22,232Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C for Tokyo on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and modest humidity around 60–70%. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range, reflecting typical early-September conditions with residual summer warmth tempered by increasing cloud cover and low shower chances. Recent observations on September 1 showed similar maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, supporting the current market-implied odds favoring 31°C (45.5%) over 30°C or 32°C. Minor model spread and any afternoon convection could shift the exact peak, but no strong fronts or anomalies appear likely to alter the central tendency before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$22,232Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a daytime high near 31–32°C for Tokyo on September 2 under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow, and modest humidity around 60–70%. Ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range, reflecting typical early-September conditions with residual summer warmth tempered by increasing cloud cover and low shower chances. Recent observations on September 1 showed similar maxima in the upper 20s to low 30s, supporting the current market-implied odds favoring 31°C (45.5%) over 30°C or 32°C. Minor model spread and any afternoon convection could shift the exact peak, but no strong fronts or anomalies appear likely to alter the central tendency before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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