Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4 near 7–9 °C after a cold front clears skies and advects drier, cooler air from the southwest. Clear conditions overnight promote strong radiative cooling under light winds, while dew points near 4–6 °C limit additional moisture effects. Trader sentiment splits between the 15 °C-or-higher and 5 °C-or-below brackets because ensemble spreads in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing create roughly even odds for whether the overnight low settles near 8 °C or edges lower. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 9–11 °C, so current model consensus on enhanced cooling after frontal passage explains the balanced market-implied probabilities. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4?
5°C or below 79%
15°C or higher 79%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
5°C or below
79%
6°C
32%
7°C
27%
8°C
49%
9°C
27%
10°C
3%
11°C
15%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C
49%
15°C or higher
79%
5°C or below 79%
15°C or higher 79%
8°C 49%
12°C 49%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
5°C or below
$0 Wol.
79%
6°C
$0 Wol.
32%
7°C
$0 Wol.
27%
8°C
$0 Wol.
49%
9°C
$0 Wol.
27%
10°C
$220 Wol.
3%
11°C
$0 Wol.
15%
12°C
$0 Wol.
49%
13°C
$0 Wol.
49%
14°C
$0 Wol.
49%
15°C or higher
$0 Wol.
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4 near 7–9 °C after a cold front clears skies and advects drier, cooler air from the southwest. Clear conditions overnight promote strong radiative cooling under light winds, while dew points near 4–6 °C limit additional moisture effects. Trader sentiment splits between the 15 °C-or-higher and 5 °C-or-below brackets because ensemble spreads in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing create roughly even odds for whether the overnight low settles near 8 °C or edges lower. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 9–11 °C, so current model consensus on enhanced cooling after frontal passage explains the balanced market-implied probabilities. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$220Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4 near 7–9 °C after a cold front clears skies and advects drier, cooler air from the southwest. Clear conditions overnight promote strong radiative cooling under light winds, while dew points near 4–6 °C limit additional moisture effects. Trader sentiment splits between the 15 °C-or-higher and 5 °C-or-below brackets because ensemble spreads in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing create roughly even odds for whether the overnight low settles near 8 °C or edges lower. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 9–11 °C, so current model consensus on enhanced cooling after frontal passage explains the balanced market-implied probabilities. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$220Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a minimum temperature in Buenos Aires on September 4 near 7–9 °C after a cold front clears skies and advects drier, cooler air from the southwest. Clear conditions overnight promote strong radiative cooling under light winds, while dew points near 4–6 °C limit additional moisture effects. Trader sentiment splits between the 15 °C-or-higher and 5 °C-or-below brackets because ensemble spreads in wind speed and boundary-layer mixing create roughly even odds for whether the overnight low settles near 8 °C or edges lower. Historical September climatology places typical minima around 9–11 °C, so current model consensus on enhanced cooling after frontal passage explains the balanced market-implied probabilities. Updated runs from official agencies will refine the exact threshold before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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