Latest National Weather Service and regional forecasts project a high near 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2 under mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent southwest flow advecting warm, humid air masses amid a late-season heat pattern well above the 80°F climatological average. Heat indices near 100°F reflect elevated dew points, while model consensus and recent observations from O’Hare support peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s rather than extremes. This positions the market-implied 49.5% probability on 94–95°F and 32.5% on 92–93°F as reflecting the narrow but plausible range between official guidance and local heating potential, with limited upside beyond 96°F given stable steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 2?
94-95°F 50%
92-93°F 33%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
33%
94-95°F
50%
96-97°F
8%
98-99°F
2%
100-101°F
1%
102°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 50%
92-93°F 33%
96-97°F 8%
90-91°F 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 2, 2026
83°F or below
$172 Wol.
<1%
84-85°F
$229 Wol.
<1%
86-87°F
$364 Wol.
1%
88-89°F
$478 Wol.
2%
90-91°F
$372 Wol.
5%
92-93°F
$1,107 Wol.
33%
94-95°F
$1,917 Wol.
50%
96-97°F
$496 Wol.
8%
98-99°F
$398 Wol.
2%
100-101°F
$220 Wol.
1%
102°F or higher
$388 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and regional forecasts project a high near 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2 under mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent southwest flow advecting warm, humid air masses amid a late-season heat pattern well above the 80°F climatological average. Heat indices near 100°F reflect elevated dew points, while model consensus and recent observations from O’Hare support peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s rather than extremes. This positions the market-implied 49.5% probability on 94–95°F and 32.5% on 92–93°F as reflecting the narrow but plausible range between official guidance and local heating potential, with limited upside beyond 96°F given stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,141Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service and regional forecasts project a high near 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2 under mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent southwest flow advecting warm, humid air masses amid a late-season heat pattern well above the 80°F climatological average. Heat indices near 100°F reflect elevated dew points, while model consensus and recent observations from O’Hare support peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s rather than extremes. This positions the market-implied 49.5% probability on 94–95°F and 32.5% on 92–93°F as reflecting the narrow but plausible range between official guidance and local heating potential, with limited upside beyond 96°F given stable steering patterns.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,141Data zakończenia
Sep 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 31, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service and regional forecasts project a high near 92–94°F for Chicago on September 2 under mostly sunny skies, driven by persistent southwest flow advecting warm, humid air masses amid a late-season heat pattern well above the 80°F climatological average. Heat indices near 100°F reflect elevated dew points, while model consensus and recent observations from O’Hare support peak readings in the low-to-mid 90s rather than extremes. This positions the market-implied 49.5% probability on 94–95°F and 32.5% on 92–93°F as reflecting the narrow but plausible range between official guidance and local heating potential, with limited upside beyond 96°F given stable steering patterns.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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