Recent numerical weather models from agencies like China's Meteorological Administration and international ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 19–20 °C for Beijing on September 3, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate nocturnal radiative cooling under typical early-September humidity levels. This places the market-implied 18 °C and 17 °C outcomes near the center of the forecast distribution, while the elevated 34.5 % probability on 13 °C or below reflects residual model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving moisture that could suppress the overnight low. Historical climatology shows an average low of 18.8 °C with a record minimum of 13.3 °C, underscoring that deviations would require stronger cold-air advection or clearer, drier conditions than currently projected. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 3?
13°C or below 69%
17°C 31%
18°C 28%
16°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
69%
14°C
8%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
31%
18°C
28%
19°C
27%
20°C
26%
21°C
26%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
1%
13°C or below 69%
17°C 31%
18°C 28%
16°C 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 3, 2026
13°C or below
$5 Wol.
69%
14°C
$5 Wol.
8%
15°C
$0 Wol.
27%
16°C
$0 Wol.
27%
17°C
$65 Wol.
31%
18°C
$0 Wol.
28%
19°C
$0 Wol.
27%
20°C
$0 Wol.
26%
21°C
$0 Wol.
26%
22°C
$5 Wol.
1%
23°C or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from agencies like China's Meteorological Administration and international ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 19–20 °C for Beijing on September 3, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate nocturnal radiative cooling under typical early-September humidity levels. This places the market-implied 18 °C and 17 °C outcomes near the center of the forecast distribution, while the elevated 34.5 % probability on 13 °C or below reflects residual model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving moisture that could suppress the overnight low. Historical climatology shows an average low of 18.8 °C with a record minimum of 13.3 °C, underscoring that deviations would require stronger cold-air advection or clearer, drier conditions than currently projected. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$85Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather models from agencies like China's Meteorological Administration and international ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 19–20 °C for Beijing on September 3, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate nocturnal radiative cooling under typical early-September humidity levels. This places the market-implied 18 °C and 17 °C outcomes near the center of the forecast distribution, while the elevated 34.5 % probability on 13 °C or below reflects residual model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving moisture that could suppress the overnight low. Historical climatology shows an average low of 18.8 °C with a record minimum of 13.3 °C, underscoring that deviations would require stronger cold-air advection or clearer, drier conditions than currently projected. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$85Data zakończenia
Sep 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather models from agencies like China's Meteorological Administration and international ensembles converge on a minimum temperature near 19–20 °C for Beijing on September 3, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate nocturnal radiative cooling under typical early-September humidity levels. This places the market-implied 18 °C and 17 °C outcomes near the center of the forecast distribution, while the elevated 34.5 % probability on 13 °C or below reflects residual model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and any late-arriving moisture that could suppress the overnight low. Historical climatology shows an average low of 18.8 °C with a record minimum of 13.3 °C, underscoring that deviations would require stronger cold-air advection or clearer, drier conditions than currently projected. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania