Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate clearing skies and northeast winds over Wuhan on September 4, following scattered rain on September 3 that suppressed daytime heating. This shift supports maximum temperatures clustering around 31–32°C, aligning with the market's leading 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (25.5%) outcomes. Low precipitation probabilities and moderate humidity under sunny conditions favor stronger solar insolation and limited cloud cover compared to the prior 24–48 hours. Historical September baselines near 29–30°C provide context, but the current model consensus points to a modest warming trend driven by the improving synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with limited upside risk above 34°C given seasonal cooling influences.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 4?
32°C 41%
33°C 26%
31°C 19%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
6%
31°C
19%
32°C
41%
33°C
26%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
4%
32°C 41%
33°C 26%
31°C 19%
30°C 6%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
25°C or below
$168 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$637 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$195 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$308 Wol.
1%
29°C
$75 Wol.
2%
30°C
$134 Wol.
6%
31°C
$425 Wol.
19%
32°C
$433 Wol.
41%
33°C
$291 Wol.
26%
34°C
$452 Wol.
6%
35°C or higher
$221 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate clearing skies and northeast winds over Wuhan on September 4, following scattered rain on September 3 that suppressed daytime heating. This shift supports maximum temperatures clustering around 31–32°C, aligning with the market's leading 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (25.5%) outcomes. Low precipitation probabilities and moderate humidity under sunny conditions favor stronger solar insolation and limited cloud cover compared to the prior 24–48 hours. Historical September baselines near 29–30°C provide context, but the current model consensus points to a modest warming trend driven by the improving synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with limited upside risk above 34°C given seasonal cooling influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,339Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate clearing skies and northeast winds over Wuhan on September 4, following scattered rain on September 3 that suppressed daytime heating. This shift supports maximum temperatures clustering around 31–32°C, aligning with the market's leading 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (25.5%) outcomes. Low precipitation probabilities and moderate humidity under sunny conditions favor stronger solar insolation and limited cloud cover compared to the prior 24–48 hours. Historical September baselines near 29–30°C provide context, but the current model consensus points to a modest warming trend driven by the improving synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with limited upside risk above 34°C given seasonal cooling influences.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,339Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate clearing skies and northeast winds over Wuhan on September 4, following scattered rain on September 3 that suppressed daytime heating. This shift supports maximum temperatures clustering around 31–32°C, aligning with the market's leading 32°C (40.5%) and 33°C (25.5%) outcomes. Low precipitation probabilities and moderate humidity under sunny conditions favor stronger solar insolation and limited cloud cover compared to the prior 24–48 hours. Historical September baselines near 29–30°C provide context, but the current model consensus points to a modest warming trend driven by the improving synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread in ensemble guidance, with limited upside risk above 34°C given seasonal cooling influences.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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