Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 28–30°C in Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly flow, with peak insolation around midday to afternoon driving the daily maximum. Clear conditions favor strong surface heating and reduced cloud cover, while the absence of significant frontal activity or moist advection limits cooling or convective suppression of temperatures. Historical averages near 21.6°C and a 30.9°C record underscore that this setup represents an above-normal but plausible warm anomaly, with small differences in model timing or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the exact peak by 1°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 4?
Highest temperature in Munich on September 4?
29°C 46%
30°C 34%
28°C 17%
31°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
17%
29°C
37%
30°C
34%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 46%
30°C 34%
28°C 17%
31°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 4, 2026
23°C or below
$0 Wol.
1%
24°C
$7 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$11 Wol.
1%
26°C
$11 Wol.
3%
27°C
$24 Wol.
8%
28°C
$8 Wol.
17%
29°C
$10 Wol.
37%
30°C
$310 Wol.
34%
31°C
$5 Wol.
8%
32°C
$10 Wol.
2%
33°C or higher
$0 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 28–30°C in Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly flow, with peak insolation around midday to afternoon driving the daily maximum. Clear conditions favor strong surface heating and reduced cloud cover, while the absence of significant frontal activity or moist advection limits cooling or convective suppression of temperatures. Historical averages near 21.6°C and a 30.9°C record underscore that this setup represents an above-normal but plausible warm anomaly, with small differences in model timing or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the exact peak by 1°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$395Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 28–30°C in Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly flow, with peak insolation around midday to afternoon driving the daily maximum. Clear conditions favor strong surface heating and reduced cloud cover, while the absence of significant frontal activity or moist advection limits cooling or convective suppression of temperatures. Historical averages near 21.6°C and a 30.9°C record underscore that this setup represents an above-normal but plausible warm anomaly, with small differences in model timing or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the exact peak by 1°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature resolution criteria.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$395Data zakończenia
Sep 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models indicate a high of 28–30°C in Munich on September 4 under mostly clear skies and moderate westerly flow, with peak insolation around midday to afternoon driving the daily maximum. Clear conditions favor strong surface heating and reduced cloud cover, while the absence of significant frontal activity or moist advection limits cooling or convective suppression of temperatures. Historical averages near 21.6°C and a 30.9°C record underscore that this setup represents an above-normal but plausible warm anomaly, with small differences in model timing or boundary-layer mixing able to shift the exact peak by 1°C. Traders assign nearly equal weight to 29°C and 30°C outcomes, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band typical of short-range temperature resolution criteria.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania