Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 2?
25°C 64%
26°C 19%
24°C 16%
23°C 3%
$10,708 Wol.
$10,708 Wol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
64%
26°C
19%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 64%
26°C 19%
24°C 16%
23°C 3%
$10,708 Wol.
$10,708 Wol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
3%
24°C
16%
25°C
64%
26°C
19%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple models, including GFS-derived runs, indicate Munich's September 2 high will peak near 24–25°C under partly to mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and negligible precipitation. This aligns with the market-implied 63.5% probability on 25°C and secondary support for 24–26°C, reflecting the narrow uncertainty band around the seasonal average of 22°C. Stable high pressure and modest advection of milder air maintain temperatures above recent cooler anomalies without supporting stronger warming that would elevate odds for 27°C or higher. Updated model guidance expected overnight will refine the exact maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania