Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and global models indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C in Paris on September 6, driven by easterly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon mixing. This setup favors the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak timing and cloud cover. Above the September climatological average of 22.9°C, the warmth stems from a transient ridge suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling, though increasing low-level moisture raises slight rain chances later in the day that could cap the maximum. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and recent model runs showing stable highs near these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Paris on September 6?
Highest temperature in Paris on September 6?
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 25%
31°C 7%
NOWE
$18,823 Wol.
NOWE
$18,823 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
2%
27°C
3%
28°C
31%
29°C
36%
30°C
25%
31°C
7%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
28°C 31%
30°C 25%
31°C 7%
NOWE
$18,823 Wol.
NOWE
$18,823 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
26°C or below
$216 Wol.
2%
27°C
$455 Wol.
3%
28°C
$1,266 Wol.
31%
29°C
$505 Wol.
36%
30°C
$1,786 Wol.
25%
31°C
$1,432 Wol.
7%
32°C
$246 Wol.
3%
33°C
$79 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$422 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$852 Wol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$11,563 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and global models indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C in Paris on September 6, driven by easterly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon mixing. This setup favors the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak timing and cloud cover. Above the September climatological average of 22.9°C, the warmth stems from a transient ridge suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling, though increasing low-level moisture raises slight rain chances later in the day that could cap the maximum. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and recent model runs showing stable highs near these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,823Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and global models indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C in Paris on September 6, driven by easterly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon mixing. This setup favors the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak timing and cloud cover. Above the September climatological average of 22.9°C, the warmth stems from a transient ridge suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling, though increasing low-level moisture raises slight rain chances later in the day that could cap the maximum. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and recent model runs showing stable highs near these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$18,823Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France-aligned sources and global models indicate a daytime high near 28–29°C in Paris on September 6, driven by easterly flow under partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon mixing. This setup favors the market’s leading 29°C outcome at 35.5% implied probability, followed closely by 28°C and 30°C, reflecting minor ensemble spread in peak timing and cloud cover. Above the September climatological average of 22.9°C, the warmth stems from a transient ridge suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling, though increasing low-level moisture raises slight rain chances later in the day that could cap the maximum. Traders appear to weigh official guidance and recent model runs showing stable highs near these thresholds, with resolution hinging on the precise afternoon peak recorded at official stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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