Persistent Southwest Monsoon (habagat) activity is the main driver positioning 30°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 41.5% for Manila's September 6 maximum temperature. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime highs of 29–31°C under widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average highs reach about 30–32°C but frequently fall toward the lower end during active monsoon periods. Recent satellite imagery and model consensus show no significant clearing expected, keeping probabilities for 31°C or higher limited while supporting the narrow 29–30°C band. Updated PAGASA briefings and morning observations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Manila on September 6?
Highest temperature in Manila on September 6?
30°C 42%
29°C 25%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
25%
30°C
42%
31°C
20%
32°C
6%
33°C or higher
2%
30°C 42%
29°C 25%
31°C 20%
28°C 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 6, 2026
23°C or below
$510 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$555 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$183 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$268 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$500 Wol.
3%
28°C
$248 Wol.
7%
29°C
$366 Wol.
25%
30°C
$489 Wol.
42%
31°C
$522 Wol.
20%
32°C
$53 Wol.
6%
33°C or higher
$55 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Southwest Monsoon (habagat) activity is the main driver positioning 30°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 41.5% for Manila's September 6 maximum temperature. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime highs of 29–31°C under widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average highs reach about 30–32°C but frequently fall toward the lower end during active monsoon periods. Recent satellite imagery and model consensus show no significant clearing expected, keeping probabilities for 31°C or higher limited while supporting the narrow 29–30°C band. Updated PAGASA briefings and morning observations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Wolumen
$3,744Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent Southwest Monsoon (habagat) activity is the main driver positioning 30°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 41.5% for Manila's September 6 maximum temperature. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime highs of 29–31°C under widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average highs reach about 30–32°C but frequently fall toward the lower end during active monsoon periods. Recent satellite imagery and model consensus show no significant clearing expected, keeping probabilities for 31°C or higher limited while supporting the narrow 29–30°C band. Updated PAGASA briefings and morning observations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$3,744Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 4, 2026, 12:59 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent Southwest Monsoon (habagat) activity is the main driver positioning 30°C as the leading market-implied outcome at 41.5% for Manila's September 6 maximum temperature. Official PAGASA outlooks and ensemble forecasts indicate daytime highs of 29–31°C under widespread cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms that reduce solar heating and promote evaporative cooling. These conditions align with September climatology, where average highs reach about 30–32°C but frequently fall toward the lower end during active monsoon periods. Recent satellite imagery and model consensus show no significant clearing expected, keeping probabilities for 31°C or higher limited while supporting the narrow 29–30°C band. Updated PAGASA briefings and morning observations will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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