Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish an absolute daily minimum of 27°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with late-summer climatology under elevated pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This measurement, drawn from the agency's standardized station data and consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows near 27–28°C, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because finalized records rarely undergo material revision, though an unanticipated data correction or station anomaly remains a low-likelihood scenario that could theoretically shift resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 12?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$113,970 Wol.
$113,970 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$113,970 Wol.
$113,970 Wol.
Sep 12, 2026
22°C or below
$528 Wol.
No
23°C
$2,001 Wol.
No
24°C
$4,406 Wol.
No
25°C
$6,065 Wol.
No
26°C
$2,562 Wol.
No
27°C
$7,525 Wol.
Yes
28°C
$90,484 Wol.
No
29°C
$112 Wol.
No
30°C
$157 Wol.
No
31°C
$76 Wol.
No
32°C or higher
$54 Wol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish an absolute daily minimum of 27°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with late-summer climatology under elevated pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This measurement, drawn from the agency's standardized station data and consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows near 27–28°C, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because finalized records rarely undergo material revision, though an unanticipated data correction or station anomaly remains a low-likelihood scenario that could theoretically shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$113,970Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish an absolute daily minimum of 27°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with late-summer climatology under elevated pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This measurement, drawn from the agency's standardized station data and consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows near 27–28°C, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because finalized records rarely undergo material revision, though an unanticipated data correction or station anomaly remains a low-likelihood scenario that could theoretically shift resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$113,970Data zakończenia
Sep 12, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Wynik zaproponowany: No
Brak sporu
Ostateczny wynik: No
Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory establish an absolute daily minimum of 27°C on September 12, 2026, aligning with late-summer climatology under elevated pressure, elevated humidity, and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. This measurement, drawn from the agency's standardized station data and consistent with nearby model guidance showing overnight lows near 27–28°C, underpins the market's overwhelming consensus. Traders assign negligible probability to deviations because finalized records rarely undergo material revision, though an unanticipated data correction or station anomaly remains a low-likelihood scenario that could theoretically shift resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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