Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and regional analyses, point to persistent cloud cover and widespread showers across Chengdu on September 15, which suppress daytime heating and cap the maximum temperature near 21–22°C. High humidity near 85–90% combined with light winds further limits warming, consistent with the current market clustering around those outcomes. Recent days showed slightly higher readings under partial clearing, but an incoming moisture surge has shifted consensus toward cooler, wetter conditions. Final observational data and any last-minute model adjustments before resolution will determine whether the high settles at 21°C or edges into the 22–23°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 15?
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
23°C 18%
20°C 13%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
18%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 32%
22°C 32%
23°C 18%
20°C 13%
16°C or below
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
13%
21°C
32%
22°C
32%
23°C
18%
24°C
6%
25°C
4%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:58 PM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including those referenced by the Met Office and regional analyses, point to persistent cloud cover and widespread showers across Chengdu on September 15, which suppress daytime heating and cap the maximum temperature near 21–22°C. High humidity near 85–90% combined with light winds further limits warming, consistent with the current market clustering around those outcomes. Recent days showed slightly higher readings under partial clearing, but an incoming moisture surge has shifted consensus toward cooler, wetter conditions. Final observational data and any last-minute model adjustments before resolution will determine whether the high settles at 21°C or edges into the 22–23°C range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania