**Trader sentiment strongly favors 22°C as the day's maximum in Istanbul, with an 83% market-implied probability, reflecting consensus across meteorological models and observations showing a high near this level amid persistent cloud cover and light showers.** Northeasterly winds and a stable high-pressure system around 1017–1018 hPa have limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures in the 19–21°C range through midday with only modest afternoon recovery expected. Recent data indicate conditions cooler than September climatological norms (typically 24–26°C highs), driven by increased cloudiness and scattered precipitation that suppress solar heating. Minor probabilities for 21°C or 23°C account for minor forecast spread in model runs, but current guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models shows little deviation from the 22°C threshold. Resolution will hinge on official daily maximum readings, with no major shifts anticipated before evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 16?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 16?
22°C 85%
21°C 9%
23°C 7%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
9%
22°C
85%
23°C
7%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 85%
21°C 9%
23°C 7%
24°C <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
18°C or below
$368 Wol.
<1%
19°C
$597 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$1,100 Wol.
<1%
21°C
$2,462 Wol.
9%
22°C
$2,937 Wol.
85%
23°C
$973 Wol.
7%
24°C
$449 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$287 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$248 Wol.
<1%
27°C
$189 Wol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$189 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors 22°C as the day's maximum in Istanbul, with an 83% market-implied probability, reflecting consensus across meteorological models and observations showing a high near this level amid persistent cloud cover and light showers.**
Northeasterly winds and a stable high-pressure system around 1017–1018 hPa have limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures in the 19–21°C range through midday with only modest afternoon recovery expected. Recent data indicate conditions cooler than September climatological norms (typically 24–26°C highs), driven by increased cloudiness and scattered precipitation that suppress solar heating. Minor probabilities for 21°C or 23°C account for minor forecast spread in model runs, but current guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models shows little deviation from the 22°C threshold. Resolution will hinge on official daily maximum readings, with no major shifts anticipated before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,800Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment strongly favors 22°C as the day's maximum in Istanbul, with an 83% market-implied probability, reflecting consensus across meteorological models and observations showing a high near this level amid persistent cloud cover and light showers.**
Northeasterly winds and a stable high-pressure system around 1017–1018 hPa have limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures in the 19–21°C range through midday with only modest afternoon recovery expected. Recent data indicate conditions cooler than September climatological norms (typically 24–26°C highs), driven by increased cloudiness and scattered precipitation that suppress solar heating. Minor probabilities for 21°C or 23°C account for minor forecast spread in model runs, but current guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models shows little deviation from the 22°C threshold. Resolution will hinge on official daily maximum readings, with no major shifts anticipated before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,800Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment strongly favors 22°C as the day's maximum in Istanbul, with an 83% market-implied probability, reflecting consensus across meteorological models and observations showing a high near this level amid persistent cloud cover and light showers.** Northeasterly winds and a stable high-pressure system around 1017–1018 hPa have limited daytime warming, keeping temperatures in the 19–21°C range through midday with only modest afternoon recovery expected. Recent data indicate conditions cooler than September climatological norms (typically 24–26°C highs), driven by increased cloudiness and scattered precipitation that suppress solar heating. Minor probabilities for 21°C or 23°C account for minor forecast spread in model runs, but current guidance from sources like the Turkish Meteorological Service and international models shows little deviation from the 22°C threshold. Resolution will hinge on official daily maximum readings, with no major shifts anticipated before evening.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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