Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high of 28–30°C in Beijing on September 18, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northeast to southeast winds, and a modest chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap afternoon heating. Recent days have featured clearer conditions and highs near 30–31°C under southerly flow, but increasing moisture and cloud cover are expected to moderate peak temperatures slightly. Ensemble spreads and model differences center on exact cloud timing and precipitation coverage, creating the tight market clustering around 29–30°C (combined ~60% implied probability) versus 28°C. Official observations will resolve the daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
Highest temperature in Beijing on September 18?
29°C 36%
30°C 31%
28°C 27%
27°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
3%
25°C
3%
26°C
7%
27°C
14%
28°C
27%
29°C
36%
30°C
31%
31°C
10%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 36%
30°C 31%
28°C 27%
27°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
23°C or below
$15 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$0 Wol.
3%
25°C
$0 Wol.
3%
26°C
$31 Wol.
7%
27°C
$15 Wol.
14%
28°C
$27 Wol.
27%
29°C
$98 Wol.
36%
30°C
$20 Wol.
31%
31°C
$25 Wol.
10%
32°C
$25 Wol.
3%
33°C or higher
$15 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high of 28–30°C in Beijing on September 18, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northeast to southeast winds, and a modest chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap afternoon heating. Recent days have featured clearer conditions and highs near 30–31°C under southerly flow, but increasing moisture and cloud cover are expected to moderate peak temperatures slightly. Ensemble spreads and model differences center on exact cloud timing and precipitation coverage, creating the tight market clustering around 29–30°C (combined ~60% implied probability) versus 28°C. Official observations will resolve the daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$260Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high of 28–30°C in Beijing on September 18, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northeast to southeast winds, and a modest chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap afternoon heating. Recent days have featured clearer conditions and highs near 30–31°C under southerly flow, but increasing moisture and cloud cover are expected to moderate peak temperatures slightly. Ensemble spreads and model differences center on exact cloud timing and precipitation coverage, creating the tight market clustering around 29–30°C (combined ~60% implied probability) versus 28°C. Official observations will resolve the daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$260Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a high of 28–30°C in Beijing on September 18, with partly to mostly cloudy skies, light northeast to southeast winds, and a modest chance of scattered showers or thunderstorms that could cap afternoon heating. Recent days have featured clearer conditions and highs near 30–31°C under southerly flow, but increasing moisture and cloud cover are expected to moderate peak temperatures slightly. Ensemble spreads and model differences center on exact cloud timing and precipitation coverage, creating the tight market clustering around 29–30°C (combined ~60% implied probability) versus 28°C. Official observations will resolve the daily maximum recorded at standard stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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