Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, reinforced by KNMI guidance, positions Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 18 near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and limited precipitation. This drives the market's strong implied probabilities on those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow at this short range and align with near-normal September conditions moderated by North Sea influences. Recent model runs show little shift, with afternoon peaks expected in the upper teens Celsius amid building high pressure. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution updates for any revisions to cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the peak by 1°C ahead of resolution at Schiphol station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
19°C 65%
18°C 27%
20°C 9%
17°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
7%
17°C
8%
18°C
27%
19°C
65%
20°C
9%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 65%
18°C 27%
20°C 9%
17°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
13°C or below
$3 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$3 Wol.
1%
15°C
$0 Wol.
3%
16°C
$0 Wol.
7%
17°C
$8 Wol.
8%
18°C
$79 Wol.
27%
19°C
$288 Wol.
65%
20°C
$9 Wol.
9%
21°C
$25 Wol.
2%
22°C
$0 Wol.
2%
23°C or higher
$3 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, reinforced by KNMI guidance, positions Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 18 near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and limited precipitation. This drives the market's strong implied probabilities on those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow at this short range and align with near-normal September conditions moderated by North Sea influences. Recent model runs show little shift, with afternoon peaks expected in the upper teens Celsius amid building high pressure. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution updates for any revisions to cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the peak by 1°C ahead of resolution at Schiphol station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$418Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, reinforced by KNMI guidance, positions Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 18 near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and limited precipitation. This drives the market's strong implied probabilities on those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow at this short range and align with near-normal September conditions moderated by North Sea influences. Recent model runs show little shift, with afternoon peaks expected in the upper teens Celsius amid building high pressure. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution updates for any revisions to cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the peak by 1°C ahead of resolution at Schiphol station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$418Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast consensus from ECMWF and other models, reinforced by KNMI guidance, positions Amsterdam's maximum temperature on September 18 near 18–19°C under partly cloudy skies, moderate westerly flow, and limited precipitation. This drives the market's strong implied probabilities on those two outcomes, as ensemble spreads remain narrow at this short range and align with near-normal September conditions moderated by North Sea influences. Recent model runs show little shift, with afternoon peaks expected in the upper teens Celsius amid building high pressure. Traders will monitor the next high-resolution updates for any revisions to cloud cover or wind patterns that could alter the peak by 1°C ahead of resolution at Schiphol station.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania