Current forecast models for Amsterdam on September 18 show overnight minimum temperatures likely ranging from 13–16°C, shaped by mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow, moderate winds, and patchy cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and ensemble runs points to a daily low near 13–14°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear conditions, with historical September averages around 11°C providing context for the mild bias. Trader consensus on 13°C as the top outcome reflects this model guidance, while the close pricing on 17°C+ versus 11–12°C highlights uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling. New model updates expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 18?
17°C or higher 65%
16°C 39%
15°C 37%
13°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
2%
8°C
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
20%
11°C
23%
12°C
23%
13°C
31%
14°C
22%
15°C
37%
16°C
39%
17°C or higher
65%
17°C or higher 65%
16°C 39%
15°C 37%
13°C 31%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
7°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
8°C
$0 Wol.
2%
9°C
$0 Wol.
2%
10°C
$8 Wol.
20%
11°C
$0 Wol.
23%
12°C
$0 Wol.
23%
13°C
$0 Wol.
31%
14°C
$0 Wol.
22%
15°C
$0 Wol.
37%
16°C
$0 Wol.
39%
17°C or higher
$0 Wol.
65%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Amsterdam on September 18 show overnight minimum temperatures likely ranging from 13–16°C, shaped by mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow, moderate winds, and patchy cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and ensemble runs points to a daily low near 13–14°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear conditions, with historical September averages around 11°C providing context for the mild bias. Trader consensus on 13°C as the top outcome reflects this model guidance, while the close pricing on 17°C+ versus 11–12°C highlights uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling. New model updates expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$8Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Amsterdam on September 18 show overnight minimum temperatures likely ranging from 13–16°C, shaped by mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow, moderate winds, and patchy cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and ensemble runs points to a daily low near 13–14°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear conditions, with historical September averages around 11°C providing context for the mild bias. Trader consensus on 13°C as the top outcome reflects this model guidance, while the close pricing on 17°C+ versus 11–12°C highlights uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling. New model updates expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$8Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Amsterdam on September 18 show overnight minimum temperatures likely ranging from 13–16°C, shaped by mild southwesterly Atlantic airflow, moderate winds, and patchy cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Official guidance from sources like the Met Office and ensemble runs points to a daily low near 13–14°C under mostly cloudy to partly clear conditions, with historical September averages around 11°C providing context for the mild bias. Trader consensus on 13°C as the top outcome reflects this model guidance, while the close pricing on 17°C+ versus 11–12°C highlights uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any subtle wind shifts that could allow slightly more or less cooling. New model updates expected overnight will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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