Forecast consensus from European models points to mild overnight conditions in Amsterdam on September 19, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustered around 16–17°C, aligning with current market-implied odds near 50% for 17°C and 44% for 16°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in wind speed and timing of any showers, which can shift the exact low by 1°C across ensemble runs. Historical September averages near 11°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while model updates through the 18th will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 19?
17°C 51%
16°C 44%
15°C 39%
14°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
2%
12°C
11%
13°C
19%
14°C
37%
15°C
39%
16°C
44%
17°C
51%
18°C
11%
19°C
7%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
17°C 51%
16°C 44%
15°C 39%
14°C 37%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
11°C or below
$0 Wol.
2%
12°C
$0 Wol.
11%
13°C
$0 Wol.
19%
14°C
$0 Wol.
37%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C
$37 Wol.
44%
17°C
$33 Wol.
51%
18°C
$0 Wol.
11%
19°C
$0 Wol.
7%
20°C
$0 Wol.
2%
21°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models points to mild overnight conditions in Amsterdam on September 19, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustered around 16–17°C, aligning with current market-implied odds near 50% for 17°C and 44% for 16°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in wind speed and timing of any showers, which can shift the exact low by 1°C across ensemble runs. Historical September averages near 11°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while model updates through the 18th will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$70Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from European models points to mild overnight conditions in Amsterdam on September 19, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustered around 16–17°C, aligning with current market-implied odds near 50% for 17°C and 44% for 16°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in wind speed and timing of any showers, which can shift the exact low by 1°C across ensemble runs. Historical September averages near 11°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while model updates through the 18th will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$70Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from European models points to mild overnight conditions in Amsterdam on September 19, driven by persistent southwesterly flow, high humidity, and extensive cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This setup supports minimum temperatures clustered around 16–17°C, aligning with current market-implied odds near 50% for 17°C and 44% for 16°C. Key differentiating factors include minor variations in wind speed and timing of any showers, which can shift the exact low by 1°C across ensemble runs. Historical September averages near 11°C highlight the anomalous warmth, while model updates through the 18th will refine resolution criteria for the daily minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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