Persistent easterly flow and elevated moisture from a stalled frontal boundary are capping daytime heating across South Florida, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to an 88°F high on September 17 amid 70-80% thunderstorm chances. Scattered to numerous storms, driven by deep tropical moisture and moderate shear, are expected to develop by midday, increasing cloud cover and reducing surface insolation while onshore winds advect cooler maritime air. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but favors maxima in the upper 80s rather than the seasonal 89°F average. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 86-91°F, reflecting model consensus on storm timing and coverage as the key variables that could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Updated NWS briefings and short-range model runs through tomorrow morning remain the primary catalysts for any late adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Miami on September 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on September 17?
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 27%
84-85°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
77°F or below
2%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
13%
86-87°F
28%
88-89°F
33%
90-91°F
27%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
2%
96°F or higher
2%
88-89°F 33%
86-87°F 28%
90-91°F 27%
84-85°F 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
77°F or below
$0 Wol.
2%
78-79°F
$0 Wol.
2%
80-81°F
$0 Wol.
2%
82-83°F
$39 Wol.
3%
84-85°F
$512 Wol.
13%
86-87°F
$101 Wol.
28%
88-89°F
$445 Wol.
33%
90-91°F
$972 Wol.
27%
92-93°F
$0 Wol.
2%
94-95°F
$0 Wol.
2%
96°F or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and elevated moisture from a stalled frontal boundary are capping daytime heating across South Florida, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to an 88°F high on September 17 amid 70-80% thunderstorm chances. Scattered to numerous storms, driven by deep tropical moisture and moderate shear, are expected to develop by midday, increasing cloud cover and reducing surface insolation while onshore winds advect cooler maritime air. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but favors maxima in the upper 80s rather than the seasonal 89°F average. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 86-91°F, reflecting model consensus on storm timing and coverage as the key variables that could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Updated NWS briefings and short-range model runs through tomorrow morning remain the primary catalysts for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,069Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent easterly flow and elevated moisture from a stalled frontal boundary are capping daytime heating across South Florida, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to an 88°F high on September 17 amid 70-80% thunderstorm chances. Scattered to numerous storms, driven by deep tropical moisture and moderate shear, are expected to develop by midday, increasing cloud cover and reducing surface insolation while onshore winds advect cooler maritime air. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but favors maxima in the upper 80s rather than the seasonal 89°F average. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 86-91°F, reflecting model consensus on storm timing and coverage as the key variables that could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Updated NWS briefings and short-range model runs through tomorrow morning remain the primary catalysts for any late adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,069Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 2:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent easterly flow and elevated moisture from a stalled frontal boundary are capping daytime heating across South Florida, with National Weather Service guidance pointing to an 88°F high on September 17 amid 70-80% thunderstorm chances. Scattered to numerous storms, driven by deep tropical moisture and moderate shear, are expected to develop by midday, increasing cloud cover and reducing surface insolation while onshore winds advect cooler maritime air. This setup aligns with climatological norms for mid-September but favors maxima in the upper 80s rather than the seasonal 89°F average. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 86-91°F, reflecting model consensus on storm timing and coverage as the key variables that could shift peak readings by a degree or two. Updated NWS briefings and short-range model runs through tomorrow morning remain the primary catalysts for any late adjustments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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