Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers overnight, capping daytime heating near seasonal averages of 22°C. Key variables include exact cloud thickness, which could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C, and steering patterns that might allow brief clearing. Trader distribution across 22–24°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty two days out, with updates from the National Weather Service equivalents likely to refine odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Toronto on September 15?
Highest temperature in Toronto on September 15?
23°C 37%
24°C 22%
22°C 18%
25°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
7%
20°C
9%
21°C
11%
22°C
18%
23°C
37%
24°C
22%
25°C
15%
26°C or higher
14%
23°C 37%
24°C 22%
22°C 18%
25°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
16°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
17°C
$0 Wol.
4%
18°C
$5 Wol.
4%
19°C
$0 Wol.
7%
20°C
$0 Wol.
9%
21°C
$69 Wol.
11%
22°C
$767 Wol.
18%
23°C
$0 Wol.
37%
24°C
$371 Wol.
22%
25°C
$335 Wol.
15%
26°C or higher
$8 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers overnight, capping daytime heating near seasonal averages of 22°C. Key variables include exact cloud thickness, which could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C, and steering patterns that might allow brief clearing. Trader distribution across 22–24°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty two days out, with updates from the National Weather Service equivalents likely to refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,555Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers overnight, capping daytime heating near seasonal averages of 22°C. Key variables include exact cloud thickness, which could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C, and steering patterns that might allow brief clearing. Trader distribution across 22–24°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty two days out, with updates from the National Weather Service equivalents likely to refine odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,555Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada project a high of 23°C for Toronto on September 15 under mostly cloudy skies with southerly winds, aligning with the market's leading 23°C outcome at 34.5% implied probability. Recent model runs show limited warming potential due to persistent cloud cover and a 60% chance of showers overnight, capping daytime heating near seasonal averages of 22°C. Key variables include exact cloud thickness, which could suppress or enhance temperatures by 1–2°C, and steering patterns that might allow brief clearing. Trader distribution across 22–24°C reflects typical forecast uncertainty two days out, with updates from the National Weather Service equivalents likely to refine odds before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania