**Forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a high of roughly 21–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a chance of showers.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C or below (40.5%) and 22°C (29%), as cloud cover and Atlantic air advection limit daytime heating. September climatology places the long-term average high near 20°C, and current conditions show no ridge or southerly flow that would support warmer readings. Model consensus remains stable in the low-20s range, with only modest uncertainty around exact peak timing or brief clearing. Traders appear to be pricing in this moderate regime, consistent with observed steering patterns and the absence of anomalous warmth in recent runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Munich on September 13?
21°C or below 41%
22°C 28%
23°C 18%
24°C 9%
$22,435 Wol.
$22,435 Wol.
21°C or below
41%
22°C
28%
23°C
18%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
21°C or below 41%
22°C 28%
23°C 18%
24°C 9%
$22,435 Wol.
$22,435 Wol.
21°C or below
41%
22°C
28%
23°C
18%
24°C
9%
25°C
4%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 11, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS and national agencies indicate a high of roughly 21–23°C for Munich on September 13, 2026, under mostly cloudy skies with light westerly winds and a chance of showers.** This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 21°C or below (40.5%) and 22°C (29%), as cloud cover and Atlantic air advection limit daytime heating. September climatology places the long-term average high near 20°C, and current conditions show no ridge or southerly flow that would support warmer readings. Model consensus remains stable in the low-20s range, with only modest uncertainty around exact peak timing or brief clearing. Traders appear to be pricing in this moderate regime, consistent with observed steering patterns and the absence of anomalous warmth in recent runs.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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