**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a low near 13°C for Toronto on September 14, driven by clear skies under building high pressure and northwest winds following a frontal passage, promoting efficient radiational cooling overnight.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 12–14°C range, consistent with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 46% implied probability, while historical September 14 averages around 14°C provide climatological context. Trader sentiment remains closely split because exact overnight lows depend on precise wind speeds, dew points, and urban heat island effects, with model runs showing minor spreads that could shift the reading toward 11°C or 15°C. No major discrepancies appear among ensembles, though final surface observations on the 14th will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
Lowest temperature in Toronto on September 14?
6°C or below 93%
16°C or higher 74%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
6°C or below
93%
7°C
39%
8°C
39%
9°C
39%
10°C
39%
11°C
40%
12°C
46%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
74%
6°C or below 93%
16°C or higher 74%
12°C 46%
11°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
93%
7°C
$0 Wol.
39%
8°C
$0 Wol.
39%
9°C
$0 Wol.
39%
10°C
$0 Wol.
39%
11°C
$0 Wol.
40%
12°C
$12 Wol.
46%
13°C
$0 Wol.
39%
14°C
$0 Wol.
39%
15°C
$0 Wol.
39%
16°C or higher
$34 Wol.
74%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a low near 13°C for Toronto on September 14, driven by clear skies under building high pressure and northwest winds following a frontal passage, promoting efficient radiational cooling overnight.**
This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 12–14°C range, consistent with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 46% implied probability, while historical September 14 averages around 14°C provide climatological context. Trader sentiment remains closely split because exact overnight lows depend on precise wind speeds, dew points, and urban heat island effects, with model runs showing minor spreads that could shift the reading toward 11°C or 15°C. No major discrepancies appear among ensembles, though final surface observations on the 14th will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$46Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a low near 13°C for Toronto on September 14, driven by clear skies under building high pressure and northwest winds following a frontal passage, promoting efficient radiational cooling overnight.**
This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 12–14°C range, consistent with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 46% implied probability, while historical September 14 averages around 14°C provide climatological context. Trader sentiment remains closely split because exact overnight lows depend on precise wind speeds, dew points, and urban heat island effects, with model runs showing minor spreads that could shift the reading toward 11°C or 15°C. No major discrepancies appear among ensembles, though final surface observations on the 14th will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$46Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models from sources like the GFS indicate a low near 13°C for Toronto on September 14, driven by clear skies under building high pressure and northwest winds following a frontal passage, promoting efficient radiational cooling overnight.** This setup favors minimum temperatures in the 12–14°C range, consistent with the market's leading 12°C outcome at 46% implied probability, while historical September 14 averages around 14°C provide climatological context. Trader sentiment remains closely split because exact overnight lows depend on precise wind speeds, dew points, and urban heat island effects, with model runs showing minor spreads that could shift the reading toward 11°C or 15°C. No major discrepancies appear among ensembles, though final surface observations on the 14th will resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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