Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high in the low-to-mid 70s for Chicago on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, morning showers or thunderstorms, and northeast-to-north winds that limit daytime heating under a humid air mass. These conditions contrast with clearer, warmer recent days and the long-term average high near 76 °F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 74–77 °F because small differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or brief sun breaks can shift the peak by a few degrees; stronger storms or thicker overcast would cap readings near 74–75 °F, while partial clearing could push values into the upper 70s. Official forecasts carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of short-range guidance this far ahead of peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chicago on September 17?
Highest temperature in Chicago on September 17?
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 19%
80-81°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
69°F or below
1%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
30%
76-77°F
31%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
15%
82-83°F
2%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
2%
88°F or higher
2%
76-77°F 31%
74-75°F 30%
78-79°F 19%
80-81°F 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 17, 2026
69°F or below
$353 Wol.
1%
70-71°F
$0 Wol.
5%
72-73°F
$207 Wol.
9%
74-75°F
$582 Wol.
30%
76-77°F
$397 Wol.
31%
78-79°F
$382 Wol.
19%
80-81°F
$471 Wol.
15%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
2%
84-85°F
$0 Wol.
2%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
2%
88°F or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high in the low-to-mid 70s for Chicago on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, morning showers or thunderstorms, and northeast-to-north winds that limit daytime heating under a humid air mass. These conditions contrast with clearer, warmer recent days and the long-term average high near 76 °F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 74–77 °F because small differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or brief sun breaks can shift the peak by a few degrees; stronger storms or thicker overcast would cap readings near 74–75 °F, while partial clearing could push values into the upper 70s. Official forecasts carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of short-range guidance this far ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,392Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high in the low-to-mid 70s for Chicago on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, morning showers or thunderstorms, and northeast-to-north winds that limit daytime heating under a humid air mass. These conditions contrast with clearer, warmer recent days and the long-term average high near 76 °F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 74–77 °F because small differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or brief sun breaks can shift the peak by a few degrees; stronger storms or thicker overcast would cap readings near 74–75 °F, while partial clearing could push values into the upper 70s. Official forecasts carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of short-range guidance this far ahead of peak heating.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$2,392Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 3:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance points to a high in the low-to-mid 70s for Chicago on September 17, driven by persistent cloud cover, morning showers or thunderstorms, and northeast-to-north winds that limit daytime heating under a humid air mass. These conditions contrast with clearer, warmer recent days and the long-term average high near 76 °F. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 74–77 °F because small differences in cloud thickness, precipitation timing, or brief sun breaks can shift the peak by a few degrees; stronger storms or thicker overcast would cap readings near 74–75 °F, while partial clearing could push values into the upper 70s. Official forecasts carry inherent uncertainty ranges typical of short-range guidance this far ahead of peak heating.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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