Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum for Buenos Aires on September 19, with consensus lows centered around 14–16 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and northeasterly flow. This reflects springtime warming trends and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and warmer advection, pushing probabilities toward 13–15 °C outcomes while leaving room for 20 °C-plus readings if daytime heat lingers into the early morning. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but recent conditions have trended milder with no strong cold fronts expected. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 10–20 °C range, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at key stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Buenos Aires on September 19?
17°C 39%
12°C 37%
13°C 30%
10°C or below 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
27%
11°C
16%
12°C
37%
13°C
30%
14°C
26%
15°C
28%
16°C
21%
17°C
39%
18°C
17%
19°C
14%
20°C or higher
-
17°C 39%
12°C 37%
13°C 30%
10°C or below 27%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
10°C or below
$61 Wol.
27%
11°C
$0 Wol.
16%
12°C
$0 Wol.
37%
13°C
$0 Wol.
30%
14°C
$0 Wol.
26%
15°C
$16 Wol.
28%
16°C
$0 Wol.
21%
17°C
$0 Wol.
39%
18°C
$0 Wol.
17%
19°C
$0 Wol.
14%
20°C or higher
$320 Wol.
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum for Buenos Aires on September 19, with consensus lows centered around 14–16 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and northeasterly flow. This reflects springtime warming trends and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and warmer advection, pushing probabilities toward 13–15 °C outcomes while leaving room for 20 °C-plus readings if daytime heat lingers into the early morning. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but recent conditions have trended milder with no strong cold fronts expected. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 10–20 °C range, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at key stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$397Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum for Buenos Aires on September 19, with consensus lows centered around 14–16 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and northeasterly flow. This reflects springtime warming trends and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and warmer advection, pushing probabilities toward 13–15 °C outcomes while leaving room for 20 °C-plus readings if daytime heat lingers into the early morning. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but recent conditions have trended milder with no strong cold fronts expected. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 10–20 °C range, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at key stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saez
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$397Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 8:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=saezRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a mild overnight minimum for Buenos Aires on September 19, with consensus lows centered around 14–16 °C under partly cloudy to overcast skies and northeasterly flow. This reflects springtime warming trends and limited radiative cooling due to cloud cover and warmer advection, pushing probabilities toward 13–15 °C outcomes while leaving room for 20 °C-plus readings if daytime heat lingers into the early morning. Historical September minima average near 10 °C, but recent conditions have trended milder with no strong cold fronts expected. Model spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact wind shifts creates the tight clustering of market-implied odds across the 10–20 °C range, with resolution hinging on official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations at key stations.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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