**Trader consensus on 32°C reflects real-time meteorological station observations confirming that as Shenzhen's daily maximum on September 18, 2026.** Under predominantly sunny skies with light easterly winds and low humidity (around 50-60% midday), temperatures rose steadily from overnight lows near 26°C to a peak of approximately 32–32.5°C in the early afternoon, matching multiple official station readings and forecasts. This outcome aligns with typical mid-September subtropical conditions in the region, where clear weather and moderate solar heating produce highs in the low 30s without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the rise. The near-100% market-implied probability indicates strong agreement on the official resolution data, though minor revisions in final station reports or measurement timing could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 18?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$49,520 Wol.
$49,520 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$49,520 Wol.
$49,520 Wol.
Sep 18, 2026
28°C or below
$199 Wol.
<1%
29°C
$557 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$3,509 Wol.
<1%
31°C
$10,184 Wol.
<1%
32°C
$7,833 Wol.
100%
33°C
$12,321 Wol.
<1%
34°C
$10,545 Wol.
<1%
35°C
$2,447 Wol.
<1%
36°C
$1,189 Wol.
<1%
37°C
$610 Wol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$127 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 32°C reflects real-time meteorological station observations confirming that as Shenzhen's daily maximum on September 18, 2026.** Under predominantly sunny skies with light easterly winds and low humidity (around 50-60% midday), temperatures rose steadily from overnight lows near 26°C to a peak of approximately 32–32.5°C in the early afternoon, matching multiple official station readings and forecasts. This outcome aligns with typical mid-September subtropical conditions in the region, where clear weather and moderate solar heating produce highs in the low 30s without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the rise. The near-100% market-implied probability indicates strong agreement on the official resolution data, though minor revisions in final station reports or measurement timing could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$49,520Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on 32°C reflects real-time meteorological station observations confirming that as Shenzhen's daily maximum on September 18, 2026.** Under predominantly sunny skies with light easterly winds and low humidity (around 50-60% midday), temperatures rose steadily from overnight lows near 26°C to a peak of approximately 32–32.5°C in the early afternoon, matching multiple official station readings and forecasts. This outcome aligns with typical mid-September subtropical conditions in the region, where clear weather and moderate solar heating produce highs in the low 30s without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the rise. The near-100% market-implied probability indicates strong agreement on the official resolution data, though minor revisions in final station reports or measurement timing could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$49,520Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on 32°C reflects real-time meteorological station observations confirming that as Shenzhen's daily maximum on September 18, 2026.** Under predominantly sunny skies with light easterly winds and low humidity (around 50-60% midday), temperatures rose steadily from overnight lows near 26°C to a peak of approximately 32–32.5°C in the early afternoon, matching multiple official station readings and forecasts. This outcome aligns with typical mid-September subtropical conditions in the region, where clear weather and moderate solar heating produce highs in the low 30s without significant cloud cover or precipitation to moderate the rise. The near-100% market-implied probability indicates strong agreement on the official resolution data, though minor revisions in final station reports or measurement timing could theoretically shift the recorded high by 1°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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