**Persistent northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong, favoring daytime maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C on September 18.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance issued September 17 projects a 27–32 °C range under fine skies with low humidity and negligible rain risk, consistent with multiple model outputs showing strong solar heating and light easterly winds. These atmospheric conditions—typical of post-monsoon stabilization—limit cloud cover and moisture, pushing peak readings toward the upper end of the climatological September norm. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5 % implied probability for 32 °C aligns with this forecast consensus, while the modest 14 % on 33 °C accounts for residual uncertainty in the final hourly maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 18?
32°C 42%
31°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
30%
32°C
42%
33°C
14%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 42%
31°C 30%
30°C 15%
33°C 14%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
25°C or below
$776 Wol.
<1%
26°C
$259 Wol.
1%
27°C
$263 Wol.
1%
28°C
$327 Wol.
1%
29°C
$574 Wol.
3%
30°C
$405 Wol.
15%
31°C
$1,224 Wol.
30%
32°C
$2,952 Wol.
42%
33°C
$774 Wol.
14%
34°C
$425 Wol.
2%
35°C or higher
$440 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong, favoring daytime maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C on September 18.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance issued September 17 projects a 27–32 °C range under fine skies with low humidity and negligible rain risk, consistent with multiple model outputs showing strong solar heating and light easterly winds. These atmospheric conditions—typical of post-monsoon stabilization—limit cloud cover and moisture, pushing peak readings toward the upper end of the climatological September norm. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5 % implied probability for 32 °C aligns with this forecast consensus, while the modest 14 % on 33 °C accounts for residual uncertainty in the final hourly maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$8,418Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Persistent northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong, favoring daytime maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C on September 18.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance issued September 17 projects a 27–32 °C range under fine skies with low humidity and negligible rain risk, consistent with multiple model outputs showing strong solar heating and light easterly winds. These atmospheric conditions—typical of post-monsoon stabilization—limit cloud cover and moisture, pushing peak readings toward the upper end of the climatological September norm. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5 % implied probability for 32 °C aligns with this forecast consensus, while the modest 14 % on 33 °C accounts for residual uncertainty in the final hourly maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$8,418Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent northeast monsoon flow combined with an aloft anticyclone is sustaining clear, dry conditions over Hong Kong, favoring daytime maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C on September 18.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance issued September 17 projects a 27–32 °C range under fine skies with low humidity and negligible rain risk, consistent with multiple model outputs showing strong solar heating and light easterly winds. These atmospheric conditions—typical of post-monsoon stabilization—limit cloud cover and moisture, pushing peak readings toward the upper end of the climatological September norm. Trader consensus reflected in the 41.5 % implied probability for 32 °C aligns with this forecast consensus, while the modest 14 % on 33 °C accounts for residual uncertainty in the final hourly maximum before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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