Current ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF project Moscow's overnight minimum on September 19 near 9–11°C under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This positions the 8–10°C range as the most likely outcome per recent runs, though modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates uncertainty around exact thresholds. Milder advection from warmer upstream air masses supports the elevated 13°C+ odds, while any clearer skies or lighter winds could enhance surface cooling toward lower values. Historical September lows average near 7°C, providing context for the market's balanced sentiment between the leading bins. Updated model guidance ahead of local midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 19?
3°C or below 92%
13°C or higher 92%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
3°C or below
92%
4°C
14%
5°C
17%
6°C
40%
7°C
40%
8°C
22%
9°C
22%
10°C
22%
11°C
40%
12°C
19%
13°C or higher
92%
3°C or below 92%
13°C or higher 92%
6°C 40%
7°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
3°C or below
$0 Wol.
92%
4°C
$0 Wol.
14%
5°C
$0 Wol.
17%
6°C
$0 Wol.
40%
7°C
$0 Wol.
40%
8°C
$0 Wol.
22%
9°C
$0 Wol.
22%
10°C
$0 Wol.
22%
11°C
$0 Wol.
40%
12°C
$0 Wol.
19%
13°C or higher
$0 Wol.
92%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF project Moscow's overnight minimum on September 19 near 9–11°C under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This positions the 8–10°C range as the most likely outcome per recent runs, though modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates uncertainty around exact thresholds. Milder advection from warmer upstream air masses supports the elevated 13°C+ odds, while any clearer skies or lighter winds could enhance surface cooling toward lower values. Historical September lows average near 7°C, providing context for the market's balanced sentiment between the leading bins. Updated model guidance ahead of local midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF project Moscow's overnight minimum on September 19 near 9–11°C under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This positions the 8–10°C range as the most likely outcome per recent runs, though modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates uncertainty around exact thresholds. Milder advection from warmer upstream air masses supports the elevated 13°C+ odds, while any clearer skies or lighter winds could enhance surface cooling toward lower values. Historical September lows average near 7°C, providing context for the market's balanced sentiment between the leading bins. Updated model guidance ahead of local midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$0Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from models including GFS and ECMWF project Moscow's overnight minimum on September 19 near 9–11°C under southwesterly flow and variable cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. This positions the 8–10°C range as the most likely outcome per recent runs, though modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds creates uncertainty around exact thresholds. Milder advection from warmer upstream air masses supports the elevated 13°C+ odds, while any clearer skies or lighter winds could enhance surface cooling toward lower values. Historical September lows average near 7°C, providing context for the market's balanced sentiment between the leading bins. Updated model guidance ahead of local midnight will be the key near-term catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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