Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF, GFS, and ICON-EU for Warsaw on September 19 point to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C during the early morning hours under building high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the balanced market odds near the middle outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by a degree or two. No major synoptic changes or extreme anomalies are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for sub-6°C or 16°C+ readings low despite their current market weighting. Updated model runs and local observations on September 18 will provide the next key data points for refining the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
Lowest temperature in Warsaw on September 19?
6°C or below 95%
16°C or higher 95%
10°C 39%
13°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
6°C or below
95%
7°C
21%
8°C
24%
9°C
36%
10°C
39%
11°C
22%
12°C
19%
13°C
39%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C or higher
95%
6°C or below 95%
16°C or higher 95%
10°C 39%
13°C 39%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
6°C or below
$0 Wol.
95%
7°C
$0 Wol.
21%
8°C
$0 Wol.
24%
9°C
$0 Wol.
36%
10°C
$0 Wol.
39%
11°C
$0 Wol.
22%
12°C
$22 Wol.
19%
13°C
$0 Wol.
39%
14°C
$0 Wol.
39%
15°C
$56 Wol.
39%
16°C or higher
$0 Wol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF, GFS, and ICON-EU for Warsaw on September 19 point to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C during the early morning hours under building high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the balanced market odds near the middle outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by a degree or two. No major synoptic changes or extreme anomalies are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for sub-6°C or 16°C+ readings low despite their current market weighting. Updated model runs and local observations on September 18 will provide the next key data points for refining the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Wolumen
$78Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF, GFS, and ICON-EU for Warsaw on September 19 point to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C during the early morning hours under building high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the balanced market odds near the middle outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by a degree or two. No major synoptic changes or extreme anomalies are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for sub-6°C or 16°C+ readings low despite their current market weighting. Updated model runs and local observations on September 18 will provide the next key data points for refining the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$78Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from models like ECMWF, GFS, and ICON-EU for Warsaw on September 19 point to a minimum temperature of 11–13°C during the early morning hours under building high pressure, light southwesterly winds, and mostly clear to partly cloudy skies that allow moderate radiative cooling. This consensus aligns with the balanced market odds near the middle outcomes, as small differences in cloud cover, wind speed, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the exact low by a degree or two. No major synoptic changes or extreme anomalies are expected in the next 48 hours, keeping probabilities for sub-6°C or 16°C+ readings low despite their current market weighting. Updated model runs and local observations on September 18 will provide the next key data points for refining the overnight minimum.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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