Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and AEMET guidance point to a Madrid daytime maximum near 26°C on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–28°C because model spreads remain modest, driven by minor differences in predicted afternoon cloud cover that modulates solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the recent cooldown from mid-September heat supports the lower range. Resolution hinges on official AEMET station readings; any unexpected clearing or stronger winds could push the high toward 27–28°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17?
26°C 36%
27°C 32%
25°C 20%
28°C 16%
NOWE
$15,112 Wol.
NOWE
$15,112 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
20%
26°C
36%
27°C
32%
28°C
16%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 36%
27°C 32%
25°C 20%
28°C 16%
NOWE
$15,112 Wol.
NOWE
$15,112 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
21°C or below
$361 Wol.
<1%
22°C
$503 Wol.
1%
23°C
$568 Wol.
1%
24°C
$406 Wol.
2%
25°C
$2,925 Wol.
20%
26°C
$3,821 Wol.
36%
27°C
$2,703 Wol.
32%
28°C
$2,309 Wol.
16%
29°C
$476 Wol.
<1%
30°C
$364 Wol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$675 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and AEMET guidance point to a Madrid daytime maximum near 26°C on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–28°C because model spreads remain modest, driven by minor differences in predicted afternoon cloud cover that modulates solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the recent cooldown from mid-September heat supports the lower range. Resolution hinges on official AEMET station readings; any unexpected clearing or stronger winds could push the high toward 27–28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$15,112Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and AEMET guidance point to a Madrid daytime maximum near 26°C on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–28°C because model spreads remain modest, driven by minor differences in predicted afternoon cloud cover that modulates solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the recent cooldown from mid-September heat supports the lower range. Resolution hinges on official AEMET station readings; any unexpected clearing or stronger winds could push the high toward 27–28°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$15,112Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and AEMET guidance point to a Madrid daytime maximum near 26°C on September 17 under partly cloudy skies and light northeasterly flow. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 25–28°C because model spreads remain modest, driven by minor differences in predicted afternoon cloud cover that modulates solar insolation and boundary-layer mixing. Historical September averages near 26°C provide context, while the recent cooldown from mid-September heat supports the lower range. Resolution hinges on official AEMET station readings; any unexpected clearing or stronger winds could push the high toward 27–28°C.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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