Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate Istanbul highs on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover, with only low shower chances that should not suppress maxima. This aligns with the seasonal decline from early-September peaks above 30°C and matches the month’s climatological average high near 24–25°C. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C or 23°C reflect trader weighting of these consistent short-range outputs over longer-term variability, while slim probabilities for 27°C+ or 20°C and below acknowledge model spread and any last-minute frontal shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 18?
20°C or below 52%
24°C 49%
23°C 42%
21°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
52%
21°C
38%
22°C
38%
23°C
36%
24°C
49%
25°C
38%
26°C
38%
27°C
20%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
2%
20°C or below 52%
24°C 49%
23°C 42%
21°C 38%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$0 Wol.
52%
21°C
$0 Wol.
38%
22°C
$0 Wol.
38%
23°C
$7 Wol.
36%
24°C
$20 Wol.
49%
25°C
$0 Wol.
38%
26°C
$0 Wol.
38%
27°C
$0 Wol.
20%
28°C
$0 Wol.
2%
29°C
$0 Wol.
2%
30°C or higher
$0 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate Istanbul highs on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover, with only low shower chances that should not suppress maxima. This aligns with the seasonal decline from early-September peaks above 30°C and matches the month’s climatological average high near 24–25°C. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C or 23°C reflect trader weighting of these consistent short-range outputs over longer-term variability, while slim probabilities for 27°C+ or 20°C and below acknowledge model spread and any last-minute frontal shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$27Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate Istanbul highs on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover, with only low shower chances that should not suppress maxima. This aligns with the seasonal decline from early-September peaks above 30°C and matches the month’s climatological average high near 24–25°C. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C or 23°C reflect trader weighting of these consistent short-range outputs over longer-term variability, while slim probabilities for 27°C+ or 20°C and below acknowledge model spread and any last-minute frontal shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$27Data zakończenia
Sep 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including GFS runs, indicate Istanbul highs on September 18 will likely reach 24–25°C under northeasterly flow and partial cloud cover, with only low shower chances that should not suppress maxima. This aligns with the seasonal decline from early-September peaks above 30°C and matches the month’s climatological average high near 24–25°C. Market-implied odds favoring 24°C or 23°C reflect trader weighting of these consistent short-range outputs over longer-term variability, while slim probabilities for 27°C+ or 20°C and below acknowledge model spread and any last-minute frontal shifts before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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