Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 17 amid morning rain transitioning to cloudy skies, with precipitation probabilities falling from 70% early to 20% by afternoon. Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and a stationary front suppress daytime heating, aligning with private model runs showing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C. These conditions deviate below late-summer normals of 26–27°C, concentrating trader-implied odds on 23–25°C outcomes. Updated model consensus and any late-day clearing could shift probabilities, while historical September variability underscores the narrow temperature window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?
24°C 38%
23°C 27%
25°C 23%
22°C 7%
NOWE
$10,680 Wol.
NOWE
$10,680 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
4%
22°C
7%
23°C
27%
24°C
38%
25°C
23%
26°C
6%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 38%
23°C 27%
25°C 23%
22°C 7%
NOWE
$10,680 Wol.
NOWE
$10,680 Wol.
Sep 17, 2026
19°C or below
$191 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$309 Wol.
1%
21°C
$500 Wol.
4%
22°C
$639 Wol.
7%
23°C
$2,704 Wol.
27%
24°C
$1,537 Wol.
38%
25°C
$2,236 Wol.
23%
26°C
$680 Wol.
6%
27°C
$448 Wol.
2%
28°C
$341 Wol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$1,097 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 17 amid morning rain transitioning to cloudy skies, with precipitation probabilities falling from 70% early to 20% by afternoon. Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and a stationary front suppress daytime heating, aligning with private model runs showing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C. These conditions deviate below late-summer normals of 26–27°C, concentrating trader-implied odds on 23–25°C outcomes. Updated model consensus and any late-day clearing could shift probabilities, while historical September variability underscores the narrow temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$10,680Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 17 amid morning rain transitioning to cloudy skies, with precipitation probabilities falling from 70% early to 20% by afternoon. Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and a stationary front suppress daytime heating, aligning with private model runs showing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C. These conditions deviate below late-summer normals of 26–27°C, concentrating trader-implied odds on 23–25°C outcomes. Updated model consensus and any late-day clearing could shift probabilities, while historical September variability underscores the narrow temperature window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjtt
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$10,680Data zakończenia
Sep 17, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 15, 2026, 12:56 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rjttRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency indicate a maximum of 23°C in Tokyo on September 17 amid morning rain transitioning to cloudy skies, with precipitation probabilities falling from 70% early to 20% by afternoon. Persistent cloud cover, northerly winds, and a stationary front suppress daytime heating, aligning with private model runs showing afternoon peaks near 24–25°C. These conditions deviate below late-summer normals of 26–27°C, concentrating trader-implied odds on 23–25°C outcomes. Updated model consensus and any late-day clearing could shift probabilities, while historical September variability underscores the narrow temperature window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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