**Forecast models for Manila on September 19 point to a nighttime minimum near 25–26°C amid the ongoing southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity (dew points ~24–26°C) limiting radiative cooling overnight.** Light winds and persistent cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 25–26°C. Trader sentiment splits between the 31°C+ and 21°C-or-below bins because of model spread in convective timing and intensity—stronger rain-cooled downdrafts could briefly dip readings lower, while clearer breaks or urban heat retention might hold the low higher. Upcoming NHC/NOAA or local PAGASA updates on any tropical disturbance will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Manila on September 19?
31°C or higher 90%
21°C or below 86%
27°C 40%
22°C 36%
21°C or below
86%
22°C
36%
23°C
36%
24°C
19%
25°C
23%
26°C
24%
27°C
40%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
90%
31°C or higher 90%
21°C or below 86%
27°C 40%
22°C 36%
21°C or below
86%
22°C
36%
23°C
36%
24°C
19%
25°C
23%
26°C
24%
27°C
40%
28°C
18%
29°C
14%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
90%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models for Manila on September 19 point to a nighttime minimum near 25–26°C amid the ongoing southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms and high humidity (dew points ~24–26°C) limiting radiative cooling overnight.** Light winds and persistent cloud cover further moderate temperature drops, consistent with September climatology where average lows hover around 25–26°C. Trader sentiment splits between the 31°C+ and 21°C-or-below bins because of model spread in convective timing and intensity—stronger rain-cooled downdrafts could briefly dip readings lower, while clearer breaks or urban heat retention might hold the low higher. Upcoming NHC/NOAA or local PAGASA updates on any tropical disturbance will likely refine these probabilities before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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