Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation tied to the ongoing Huaxi autumn rain pattern are the main drivers capping Chengdu’s September 19 high temperature near the market’s tightly bunched 24–26 °C cluster. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and weak steering winds favor widespread stratus and drizzle that reduce insolation and suppress daytime warming, while high humidity and limited mixing keep surface temperatures from rising sharply. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show only modest model spread around a 24–25 °C peak under mostly overcast skies, aligning with trader consensus that places 25 °C slightly ahead at 24 % implied probability. Historical September averages near 25–26 °C provide context, but the active rain regime tilts probabilities toward the lower end of the typical range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 19?
24°C 25%
25°C 25%
26°C 19%
23°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
15%
24°C
25%
25°C
25%
26°C
19%
27°C
14%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
24°C 25%
25°C 25%
26°C 19%
23°C 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
20°C or below
$425 Wol.
1%
21°C
$10 Wol.
1%
22°C
$315 Wol.
1%
23°C
$1,643 Wol.
15%
24°C
$2,097 Wol.
25%
25°C
$487 Wol.
25%
26°C
$509 Wol.
19%
27°C
$324 Wol.
14%
28°C
$335 Wol.
6%
29°C
$427 Wol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$105 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation tied to the ongoing Huaxi autumn rain pattern are the main drivers capping Chengdu’s September 19 high temperature near the market’s tightly bunched 24–26 °C cluster. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and weak steering winds favor widespread stratus and drizzle that reduce insolation and suppress daytime warming, while high humidity and limited mixing keep surface temperatures from rising sharply. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show only modest model spread around a 24–25 °C peak under mostly overcast skies, aligning with trader consensus that places 25 °C slightly ahead at 24 % implied probability. Historical September averages near 25–26 °C provide context, but the active rain regime tilts probabilities toward the lower end of the typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$6,177Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation tied to the ongoing Huaxi autumn rain pattern are the main drivers capping Chengdu’s September 19 high temperature near the market’s tightly bunched 24–26 °C cluster. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and weak steering winds favor widespread stratus and drizzle that reduce insolation and suppress daytime warming, while high humidity and limited mixing keep surface temperatures from rising sharply. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show only modest model spread around a 24–25 °C peak under mostly overcast skies, aligning with trader consensus that places 25 °C slightly ahead at 24 % implied probability. Historical September averages near 25–26 °C provide context, but the active rain regime tilts probabilities toward the lower end of the typical range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$6,177Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and light precipitation tied to the ongoing Huaxi autumn rain pattern are the main drivers capping Chengdu’s September 19 high temperature near the market’s tightly bunched 24–26 °C cluster. The Sichuan Basin’s topography and weak steering winds favor widespread stratus and drizzle that reduce insolation and suppress daytime warming, while high humidity and limited mixing keep surface temperatures from rising sharply. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts show only modest model spread around a 24–25 °C peak under mostly overcast skies, aligning with trader consensus that places 25 °C slightly ahead at 24 % implied probability. Historical September averages near 25–26 °C provide context, but the active rain regime tilts probabilities toward the lower end of the typical range.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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