Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including local Chinese meteorological services and international providers such as PredictWind and WindBorne indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on September 19 of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds. This aligns with climatological September averages near 26°C and current conditions showing stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C as the leading outcomes reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty, potential model spread in coastal zones influenced by sea breezes and humidity, and the possibility of localized warming if cloud cover decreases. Resolution will hinge on official station measurements meeting exact daily maximum thresholds, with final model runs expected in the next 48 hours likely to refine probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 19?
30°C 43%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
10%
29°C
33%
30°C
43%
31°C
13%
32°C or higher
1%
30°C 43%
29°C 33%
31°C 13%
28°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 19, 2026
22°C or below
$193 Wol.
<1%
23°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
24°C
$31 Wol.
<1%
25°C
$0 Wol.
2%
26°C
$0 Wol.
2%
27°C
$0 Wol.
5%
28°C
$17 Wol.
10%
29°C
$50 Wol.
33%
30°C
$592 Wol.
43%
31°C
$92 Wol.
13%
32°C or higher
$53 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including local Chinese meteorological services and international providers such as PredictWind and WindBorne indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on September 19 of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds. This aligns with climatological September averages near 26°C and current conditions showing stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C as the leading outcomes reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty, potential model spread in coastal zones influenced by sea breezes and humidity, and the possibility of localized warming if cloud cover decreases. Resolution will hinge on official station measurements meeting exact daily maximum thresholds, with final model runs expected in the next 48 hours likely to refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,060Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including local Chinese meteorological services and international providers such as PredictWind and WindBorne indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on September 19 of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds. This aligns with climatological September averages near 26°C and current conditions showing stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C as the leading outcomes reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty, potential model spread in coastal zones influenced by sea breezes and humidity, and the possibility of localized warming if cloud cover decreases. Resolution will hinge on official station measurements meeting exact daily maximum thresholds, with final model runs expected in the next 48 hours likely to refine probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,060Data zakończenia
Sep 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including local Chinese meteorological services and international providers such as PredictWind and WindBorne indicate a highest temperature in Qingdao on September 19 of 25–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light southeast winds. This aligns with climatological September averages near 26°C and current conditions showing stable high pressure. Market-implied odds favoring 29–30°C as the leading outcomes reflect trader weighting of forecast uncertainty, potential model spread in coastal zones influenced by sea breezes and humidity, and the possibility of localized warming if cloud cover decreases. Resolution will hinge on official station measurements meeting exact daily maximum thresholds, with final model runs expected in the next 48 hours likely to refine probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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