Recent official forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 17 most likely near 25–26 °C, driven by lingering monsoon moisture producing widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Center shows highs in this narrow band, with light southeast winds and high humidity (around 70–85 %) suppressing further warming, while any temporary clearing could push readings to 27 °C. This aligns with historical mid-September averages of 24–26 °C during the seasonal transition, when decreasing solar angle and frequent autumn rains create tight temperature clustering. Traders appear to weigh the balance between persistent overcast conditions favoring the lower end and potential model shifts toward partial clearing that could elevate the daily maximum. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 17?
26°C 32%
25°C 25%
27°C 18%
24°C 13%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
13%
25°C
25%
26°C
32%
27°C
18%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 32%
25°C 25%
27°C 18%
24°C 13%
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
6%
24°C
13%
25°C
25%
26°C
32%
27°C
18%
28°C
11%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts for Chengdu indicate a highest temperature on September 17 most likely near 25–26 °C, driven by lingering monsoon moisture producing widespread cloud cover and scattered showers that limit daytime solar heating. Model consensus from sources including the National Meteorological Center shows highs in this narrow band, with light southeast winds and high humidity (around 70–85 %) suppressing further warming, while any temporary clearing could push readings to 27 °C. This aligns with historical mid-September averages of 24–26 °C during the seasonal transition, when decreasing solar angle and frequent autumn rains create tight temperature clustering. Traders appear to weigh the balance between persistent overcast conditions favoring the lower end and potential model shifts toward partial clearing that could elevate the daily maximum. Updated runs from monitoring agencies in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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