The closely matched market odds around 27–29°C for Shanghai’s September 15 maximum reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty among numerical models, driven by small differences in predicted cloud cover, northeasterly wind advection, and boundary-layer mixing under stable high pressure. Mid-September climatology shows average highs near 27°C with a gradual seasonal decline, while an emerging El Niño may support regionally warmer conditions. Official guidance indicates mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk, keeping outcomes tightly clustered; fresh model updates from agencies will likely sharpen the consensus before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 15?
28°C 56%
29°C 22%
27°C 18%
26°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
24°C or below
4%
25°C
7%
26°C
10%
27°C
18%
28°C
56%
29°C
22%
30°C
9%
31°C
3%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
2%
28°C 56%
29°C 22%
27°C 18%
26°C 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
24°C or below
$10 Wol.
4%
25°C
$4 Wol.
7%
26°C
$0 Wol.
10%
27°C
$17 Wol.
18%
28°C
$84 Wol.
56%
29°C
$0 Wol.
22%
30°C
$0 Wol.
9%
31°C
$10 Wol.
3%
32°C
$10 Wol.
5%
33°C
$10 Wol.
2%
34°C or higher
$10 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds around 27–29°C for Shanghai’s September 15 maximum reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty among numerical models, driven by small differences in predicted cloud cover, northeasterly wind advection, and boundary-layer mixing under stable high pressure. Mid-September climatology shows average highs near 27°C with a gradual seasonal decline, while an emerging El Niño may support regionally warmer conditions. Official guidance indicates mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk, keeping outcomes tightly clustered; fresh model updates from agencies will likely sharpen the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$155Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The closely matched market odds around 27–29°C for Shanghai’s September 15 maximum reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty among numerical models, driven by small differences in predicted cloud cover, northeasterly wind advection, and boundary-layer mixing under stable high pressure. Mid-September climatology shows average highs near 27°C with a gradual seasonal decline, while an emerging El Niño may support regionally warmer conditions. Official guidance indicates mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk, keeping outcomes tightly clustered; fresh model updates from agencies will likely sharpen the consensus before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$155Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:57 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market odds around 27–29°C for Shanghai’s September 15 maximum reflect genuine short-term forecast uncertainty among numerical models, driven by small differences in predicted cloud cover, northeasterly wind advection, and boundary-layer mixing under stable high pressure. Mid-September climatology shows average highs near 27°C with a gradual seasonal decline, while an emerging El Niño may support regionally warmer conditions. Official guidance indicates mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and minimal precipitation risk, keeping outcomes tightly clustered; fresh model updates from agencies will likely sharpen the consensus before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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