Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a mild southerly flow over southern Finland on September 15, supporting a daytime maximum near 16–17°C in Helsinki under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the late-summer climatological average high of 15.5°C and recent Septembers that have frequently peaked in the 15–17°C range. Current surface observations on the 14th show stable high pressure and temperatures already approaching 17–18°C, with no significant cold-air advection or strong insolation expected to push extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 16°C because ensemble guidance clusters there, while 17°C retains solid support if cloud cover thins; lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution. Official readings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute will settle the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Helsinki on September 15?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 15?
16°C 64%
17°C 32%
15°C 5%
14°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
64%
17°C
32%
18°C
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 64%
17°C 32%
15°C 5%
14°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$309 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$38 Wol.
1%
13°C
$10 Wol.
2%
14°C
$191 Wol.
3%
15°C
$400 Wol.
5%
16°C
$1,855 Wol.
64%
17°C
$1,921 Wol.
32%
18°C
$82 Wol.
2%
19°C
$10 Wol.
2%
20°C
$10 Wol.
1%
21°C or higher
$88 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a mild southerly flow over southern Finland on September 15, supporting a daytime maximum near 16–17°C in Helsinki under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the late-summer climatological average high of 15.5°C and recent Septembers that have frequently peaked in the 15–17°C range. Current surface observations on the 14th show stable high pressure and temperatures already approaching 17–18°C, with no significant cold-air advection or strong insolation expected to push extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 16°C because ensemble guidance clusters there, while 17°C retains solid support if cloud cover thins; lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution. Official readings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ET
Wolumen
$4,913Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a mild southerly flow over southern Finland on September 15, supporting a daytime maximum near 16–17°C in Helsinki under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the late-summer climatological average high of 15.5°C and recent Septembers that have frequently peaked in the 15–17°C range. Current surface observations on the 14th show stable high pressure and temperatures already approaching 17–18°C, with no significant cold-air advection or strong insolation expected to push extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 16°C because ensemble guidance clusters there, while 17°C retains solid support if cloud cover thins; lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution. Official readings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute will settle the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$4,913Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:59 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models including GFS and ECMWF points to a mild southerly flow over southern Finland on September 15, supporting a daytime maximum near 16–17°C in Helsinki under mostly cloudy skies with light winds. This aligns closely with the late-summer climatological average high of 15.5°C and recent Septembers that have frequently peaked in the 15–17°C range. Current surface observations on the 14th show stable high pressure and temperatures already approaching 17–18°C, with no significant cold-air advection or strong insolation expected to push extremes. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 16°C because ensemble guidance clusters there, while 17°C retains solid support if cloud cover thins; lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability given the narrow forecast spread and proximity to resolution. Official readings from the Finnish Meteorological Institute will settle the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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