Recent model consensus from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasts points to a highest temperature near 30–32°C on September 14, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly winds advecting moderately moist air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected through the period reduce solar insolation compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week, while regional sea surface temperatures remain near seasonal norms. Slight model spread arises from variations in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima in Hong Kong average near 31°C, providing context for the tightly bunched market probabilities around these values. Updated runs from the National Hurricane Center and local agencies will refine the outlook as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 14?
31°C 27%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
29°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
4%
27°C
3%
28°C
7%
29°C
17%
30°C
18%
31°C
27%
32°C
25%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
5%
36°C or higher
4%
31°C 27%
32°C 25%
30°C 18%
29°C 17%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 14, 2026
26°C or below
$0 Wol.
4%
27°C
$0 Wol.
3%
28°C
$0 Wol.
7%
29°C
$0 Wol.
17%
30°C
$61 Wol.
18%
31°C
$39 Wol.
27%
32°C
$92 Wol.
25%
33°C
$87 Wol.
15%
34°C
$310 Wol.
4%
35°C
$0 Wol.
5%
36°C or higher
$0 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasts points to a highest temperature near 30–32°C on September 14, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly winds advecting moderately moist air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected through the period reduce solar insolation compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week, while regional sea surface temperatures remain near seasonal norms. Slight model spread arises from variations in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima in Hong Kong average near 31°C, providing context for the tightly bunched market probabilities around these values. Updated runs from the National Hurricane Center and local agencies will refine the outlook as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Wolumen
$585Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent model consensus from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasts points to a highest temperature near 30–32°C on September 14, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly winds advecting moderately moist air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected through the period reduce solar insolation compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week, while regional sea surface temperatures remain near seasonal norms. Slight model spread arises from variations in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima in Hong Kong average near 31°C, providing context for the tightly bunched market probabilities around these values. Updated runs from the National Hurricane Center and local agencies will refine the outlook as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$585Data zakończenia
Sep 14, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including the Hong Kong Observatory and global forecasts points to a highest temperature near 30–32°C on September 14, driven by persistent easterly to northeasterly winds advecting moderately moist air and scattered showers that limit daytime heating. Cloud cover and light precipitation expected through the period reduce solar insolation compared with clearer conditions earlier in the week, while regional sea surface temperatures remain near seasonal norms. Slight model spread arises from variations in exact rainfall timing and wind strength, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C. Historical September maxima in Hong Kong average near 31°C, providing context for the tightly bunched market probabilities around these values. Updated runs from the National Hurricane Center and local agencies will refine the outlook as the date approaches.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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