**Current forecast models indicate an overnight low in Istanbul around 16–19°C on September 16, with daytime highs near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds.** This consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local services reflects stable late-summer conditions, yet the closely matched market odds (41.5% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher) highlight genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover—which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and supports higher lows—and potential shifts in wind or humidity that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Historical September minima in Istanbul typically fall in the 15–18°C range, providing context for the observed trader balance. New model runs or official station data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Istanbul on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Istanbul on September 16?
13°C or below 83%
23°C or higher 83%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
83%
14°C
40%
15°C
40%
16°C
40%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
22%
21°C
40%
22°C
40%
23°C or higher
83%
13°C or below 83%
23°C or higher 83%
14°C 40%
15°C 40%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 16, 2026
13°C or below
$0 Wol.
83%
14°C
$0 Wol.
40%
15°C
$0 Wol.
40%
16°C
$0 Wol.
40%
17°C
$0 Wol.
22%
18°C
$5 Wol.
25%
19°C
$0 Wol.
22%
20°C
$0 Wol.
22%
21°C
$0 Wol.
40%
22°C
$0 Wol.
40%
23°C or higher
$0 Wol.
83%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate an overnight low in Istanbul around 16–19°C on September 16, with daytime highs near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds.** This consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local services reflects stable late-summer conditions, yet the closely matched market odds (41.5% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher) highlight genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover—which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and supports higher lows—and potential shifts in wind or humidity that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Historical September minima in Istanbul typically fall in the 15–18°C range, providing context for the observed trader balance. New model runs or official station data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models indicate an overnight low in Istanbul around 16–19°C on September 16, with daytime highs near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds.** This consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local services reflects stable late-summer conditions, yet the closely matched market odds (41.5% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher) highlight genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover—which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and supports higher lows—and potential shifts in wind or humidity that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Historical September minima in Istanbul typically fall in the 15–18°C range, providing context for the observed trader balance. New model runs or official station data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$5Data zakończenia
Sep 16, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models indicate an overnight low in Istanbul around 16–19°C on September 16, with daytime highs near 22–24°C under mostly cloudy skies and moderate northeast winds.** This consensus from sources such as ECMWF, GFS, and local services reflects stable late-summer conditions, yet the closely matched market odds (41.5% for 13°C or below versus 23°C or higher) highlight genuine uncertainty in the precise minimum. Key differentiators include variable cloud cover—which reduces nocturnal radiative cooling and supports higher lows—and potential shifts in wind or humidity that could enhance or limit surface cooling. Historical September minima in Istanbul typically fall in the 15–18°C range, providing context for the observed trader balance. New model runs or official station data ahead of resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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