Market-implied odds strongly favor a 16°C high in Wellington on September 15, reflecting trader consensus around official forecasts from MetService and international models. Northerly winds are expected to advect milder air ahead of an approaching front, supporting partly cloudy skies and daytime maxima of 15–16°C—above the September average of roughly 13°C. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns reinforcing this range. Resolution will hinge on verified maximum readings from local stations, with any late model shifts in wind strength or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust probabilities before observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 15?
16°C 65%
15°C 23%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
3%
15°C
23%
16°C
65%
17°C
14%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
16°C 65%
15°C 23%
17°C 14%
14°C 3%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 15, 2026
11°C or below
$182 Wol.
<1%
12°C
$203 Wol.
<1%
13°C
$554 Wol.
<1%
14°C
$1,246 Wol.
3%
15°C
$2,856 Wol.
23%
16°C
$1,488 Wol.
65%
17°C
$1,610 Wol.
14%
18°C
$761 Wol.
1%
19°C
$158 Wol.
<1%
20°C
$158 Wol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$258 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 16°C high in Wellington on September 15, reflecting trader consensus around official forecasts from MetService and international models. Northerly winds are expected to advect milder air ahead of an approaching front, supporting partly cloudy skies and daytime maxima of 15–16°C—above the September average of roughly 13°C. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns reinforcing this range. Resolution will hinge on verified maximum readings from local stations, with any late model shifts in wind strength or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust probabilities before observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Wolumen
$9,433Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds strongly favor a 16°C high in Wellington on September 15, reflecting trader consensus around official forecasts from MetService and international models. Northerly winds are expected to advect milder air ahead of an approaching front, supporting partly cloudy skies and daytime maxima of 15–16°C—above the September average of roughly 13°C. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns reinforcing this range. Resolution will hinge on verified maximum readings from local stations, with any late model shifts in wind strength or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust probabilities before observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$9,433Data zakończenia
Sep 15, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 13, 2026, 12:56 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds strongly favor a 16°C high in Wellington on September 15, reflecting trader consensus around official forecasts from MetService and international models. Northerly winds are expected to advect milder air ahead of an approaching front, supporting partly cloudy skies and daytime maxima of 15–16°C—above the September average of roughly 13°C. Model runs show limited spread, with minimal precipitation risk and stable pressure patterns reinforcing this range. Resolution will hinge on verified maximum readings from local stations, with any late model shifts in wind strength or cloud cover representing the main variables that could adjust probabilities before observation.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania