Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate a likely peak of 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 17, consistent with the market's near-even split between those outcomes. Persistent high pressure, light westerly winds off the Red Sea, and seasonal sea surface temperatures near 32°C sustain elevated daytime heat, while minimal cloud cover supports strong solar insolation. Recent observations show maxima reaching 41°C earlier in September, above the long-term average high of about 35–37°C for the month. Small differences in predicted wind speed or humidity could shift the exact maximum by 1°C, leaving room for 36°C or 39°C+ scenarios depending on the final model runs before the 17th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Jeddah on September 17?
37°C 29%
38°C 27%
39°C or higher 19%
36°C 19%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
19%
37°C
29%
38°C
27%
39°C or higher
19%
37°C 29%
38°C 27%
39°C or higher 19%
36°C 19%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
3%
35°C
6%
36°C
19%
37°C
29%
38°C
27%
39°C or higher
19%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 15, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like WeatherBug and PredictWind indicate a likely peak of 37–38°C in Jeddah on September 17, consistent with the market's near-even split between those outcomes. Persistent high pressure, light westerly winds off the Red Sea, and seasonal sea surface temperatures near 32°C sustain elevated daytime heat, while minimal cloud cover supports strong solar insolation. Recent observations show maxima reaching 41°C earlier in September, above the long-term average high of about 35–37°C for the month. Small differences in predicted wind speed or humidity could shift the exact maximum by 1°C, leaving room for 36°C or 39°C+ scenarios depending on the final model runs before the 17th.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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