Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 22 °C in London on September 11, with modest warming possible if morning cloud breaks earlier than expected. A westerly flow and building high pressure favor mostly dry conditions, though scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the precise peak reading. Ensemble spreads show temperatures clustered between 21–23 °C, consistent with the tightly matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes and the lower odds attached to 24 °C or higher. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C provide context, while the short time to resolution means any updated forecast runs or observational adjustments could quickly shift trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in London on September 11?
Highest temperature in London on September 11?
22°C 41%
23°C 38%
21°C 12%
25°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
3%
18°C
3%
19°C
5%
20°C
3%
21°C
12%
22°C
41%
23°C
38%
24°C
7%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
1%
22°C 41%
23°C 38%
21°C 12%
25°C 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
16°C or below
$46 Wol.
<1%
17°C
$0 Wol.
3%
18°C
$10 Wol.
3%
19°C
$40 Wol.
5%
20°C
$117 Wol.
3%
21°C
$170 Wol.
12%
22°C
$79 Wol.
41%
23°C
$88 Wol.
38%
24°C
$36 Wol.
7%
25°C
$117 Wol.
8%
26°C or higher
$46 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 22 °C in London on September 11, with modest warming possible if morning cloud breaks earlier than expected. A westerly flow and building high pressure favor mostly dry conditions, though scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the precise peak reading. Ensemble spreads show temperatures clustered between 21–23 °C, consistent with the tightly matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes and the lower odds attached to 24 °C or higher. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C provide context, while the short time to resolution means any updated forecast runs or observational adjustments could quickly shift trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Wolumen
$750Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 22 °C in London on September 11, with modest warming possible if morning cloud breaks earlier than expected. A westerly flow and building high pressure favor mostly dry conditions, though scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the precise peak reading. Ensemble spreads show temperatures clustered between 21–23 °C, consistent with the tightly matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes and the lower odds attached to 24 °C or higher. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C provide context, while the short time to resolution means any updated forecast runs or observational adjustments could quickly shift trader positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$750Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 12:55 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Latest Met Office guidance and supporting model consensus point to a daytime maximum near 22 °C in London on September 11, with modest warming possible if morning cloud breaks earlier than expected. A westerly flow and building high pressure favor mostly dry conditions, though scattered showers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in the precise peak reading. Ensemble spreads show temperatures clustered between 21–23 °C, consistent with the tightly matched market-implied probabilities for those outcomes and the lower odds attached to 24 °C or higher. Historical September averages near 19–20 °C provide context, while the short time to resolution means any updated forecast runs or observational adjustments could quickly shift trader positioning.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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