Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Miami under the influence of a persistent Bermuda High and warm Gulf Stream waters, keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s through September 11. This setup limits radiational cooling typical in drier seasons, with sea breezes and high humidity trapping heat. Historical September climatology places the average daily minimum near 79°F, aligning with the market's heaviest volume on 80-81°F at 44% implied probability. Recent model runs show little deviation, as no cold fronts or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before tomorrow's minimum. Traders appear to be weighting these stable subtropical conditions heavily over outlier scenarios.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Miami on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Miami on September 11?
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 23%
76-77°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
5%
72-73°F
4%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
44%
82-83°F
27%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90°F or higher
1%
80-81°F 44%
82-83°F 27%
78-79°F 23%
76-77°F 11%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
71°F or below
$0 Wol.
5%
72-73°F
$0 Wol.
4%
74-75°F
$0 Wol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Wol.
11%
78-79°F
$157 Wol.
23%
80-81°F
$1,176 Wol.
44%
82-83°F
$0 Wol.
27%
84-85°F
$38 Wol.
9%
86-87°F
$0 Wol.
8%
88-89°F
$5 Wol.
1%
90°F or higher
$5 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Miami under the influence of a persistent Bermuda High and warm Gulf Stream waters, keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s through September 11. This setup limits radiational cooling typical in drier seasons, with sea breezes and high humidity trapping heat. Historical September climatology places the average daily minimum near 79°F, aligning with the market's heaviest volume on 80-81°F at 44% implied probability. Recent model runs show little deviation, as no cold fronts or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before tomorrow's minimum. Traders appear to be weighting these stable subtropical conditions heavily over outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Wolumen
$1,381Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Miami under the influence of a persistent Bermuda High and warm Gulf Stream waters, keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s through September 11. This setup limits radiational cooling typical in drier seasons, with sea breezes and high humidity trapping heat. Historical September climatology places the average daily minimum near 79°F, aligning with the market's heaviest volume on 80-81°F at 44% implied probability. Recent model runs show little deviation, as no cold fronts or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before tomorrow's minimum. Traders appear to be weighting these stable subtropical conditions heavily over outlier scenarios.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$1,381Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the National Weather Service show Miami under the influence of a persistent Bermuda High and warm Gulf Stream waters, keeping overnight lows in the upper 70s to low 80s through September 11. This setup limits radiational cooling typical in drier seasons, with sea breezes and high humidity trapping heat. Historical September climatology places the average daily minimum near 79°F, aligning with the market's heaviest volume on 80-81°F at 44% implied probability. Recent model runs show little deviation, as no cold fronts or tropical systems are expected to alter the pattern before tomorrow's minimum. Traders appear to be weighting these stable subtropical conditions heavily over outlier scenarios.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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