Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show overnight lows near 79°F for Houston on September 11, driven by persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered thunderstorm chances that limit radiational cooling. The near-even market split between sub-70°F and 88°F+ outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, which can swing minimum temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages place typical lows around 73–75°F, but recent warm anomalies and variable steering patterns have widened the forecast envelope. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities as conditions evolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLowest temperature in Houston on September 11?
69°F or below 99%
88°F or higher 99%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
69°F or below
99%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
99%
69°F or below 99%
88°F or higher 99%
76-77°F 40%
78-79°F 40%
69°F or below
99%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
40%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
39%
86-87°F
39%
88°F or higher
99%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 9, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khou
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Źródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=khouRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from the National Weather Service show overnight lows near 79°F for Houston on September 11, driven by persistent high humidity, light southerly winds, and scattered thunderstorm chances that limit radiational cooling. The near-even market split between sub-70°F and 88°F+ outcomes reflects genuine model uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover timing, which can swing minimum temperatures by several degrees. Historical September averages place typical lows around 73–75°F, but recent warm anomalies and variable steering patterns have widened the forecast envelope. Updated model runs and NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will likely tighten these probabilities as conditions evolve.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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