Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models and agencies centers the September 9 high temperature in Shenzhen in the low 30s Celsius, with most guidance indicating 31–33°C amid easterly flow, moderate humidity near 70%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions create tight clustering in market-implied odds, as variable cloud cover and precipitation timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, while current steering patterns and limited model spread limit the chance of extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Updated short-range model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the precise peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
32°C 41%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
30°C 8%
NOWE
$14,034 Wol.
NOWE
$14,034 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
8%
31°C
18%
32°C
41%
33°C
30%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 41%
33°C 30%
31°C 18%
30°C 8%
NOWE
$14,034 Wol.
NOWE
$14,034 Wol.
Sep 9, 2026
27°C or below
$429 Wol.
<1%
28°C
$390 Wol.
1%
29°C
$356 Wol.
2%
30°C
$1,384 Wol.
8%
31°C
$5,841 Wol.
18%
32°C
$1,349 Wol.
41%
33°C
$1,118 Wol.
30%
34°C
$350 Wol.
5%
35°C
$626 Wol.
1%
36°C
$726 Wol.
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,565 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models and agencies centers the September 9 high temperature in Shenzhen in the low 30s Celsius, with most guidance indicating 31–33°C amid easterly flow, moderate humidity near 70%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions create tight clustering in market-implied odds, as variable cloud cover and precipitation timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, while current steering patterns and limited model spread limit the chance of extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Updated short-range model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Wolumen
$14,034Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models and agencies centers the September 9 high temperature in Shenzhen in the low 30s Celsius, with most guidance indicating 31–33°C amid easterly flow, moderate humidity near 70%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions create tight clustering in market-implied odds, as variable cloud cover and precipitation timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, while current steering patterns and limited model spread limit the chance of extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Updated short-range model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the precise peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Wolumen
$14,034Data zakończenia
Sep 9, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological models and agencies centers the September 9 high temperature in Shenzhen in the low 30s Celsius, with most guidance indicating 31–33°C amid easterly flow, moderate humidity near 70%, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms. These conditions create tight clustering in market-implied odds, as variable cloud cover and precipitation timing can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Historical September baselines near 31°C provide context, while current steering patterns and limited model spread limit the chance of extremes above 34°C or below 30°C. Updated short-range model runs and official observations tomorrow will resolve the precise peak.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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